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Glentoran v Limavady United
Glentoran
Limavady UnitedPremiership · SAT 17 OCT · The BetMcLean Oval
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Glentoran win at 67%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Glentoran was 67% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 67–18–15
- 1′KICK-OFF Glentoran v Limavady United
- 9′Much as we predicted: Glentoran was 67% before kick-off and our model makes it 65% now. 0–0 · 65–20–15
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Glentoran win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
- 37′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 55–30–15
- 40′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–31–15
- 45′HALF-TIME Glentoran 0–0 Limavady United
- 46′SECOND HALF Glentoran 0–0 Limavady United
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Glentoran · On: P. Hoban · Off: G. Sloggett
- 49′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–37–14
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Glentoran win: 67% at kick-off, 47% now
- 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 45–41–14
- 57′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–43–13
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Limavady United
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Glentoran win 41%)
- 63′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–48–12
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Glentoran · On: J. Daniels · Off: J. Jenkins
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Glentoran win: 67% at kick-off, 37% now
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Limavady United · On: J. Butcher · Off: J. Riley
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Glentoran · On: J. Douglas · Off: A. McEneff
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Glentoran · On: B. Gallagher · Off: C. McMenamin
- 69′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–56–11
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Glentoran
- 73′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–61–10
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Glentoran win: 67% at kick-off, 26% now
- 77′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–68–8
- 80′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–74–7
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Glentoran · On: C. Rogers-Duffy · Off: M. Kane
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Glentoran win: 67% at kick-off, 16% now
- 83′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–81–5
- 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Glentoran
- 88′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–88–3
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Limavady United · On: A. Jarvis · Off: S. Lowry
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Glentoran win: 67% at kick-off, 7% now
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Limavady United
- 92′We said Glentoran at 67%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
- 94′A goal for Glentoran on 90′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 99–1–0
- 94′We published Glentoran at 67%. Our model now makes it 99%. 1–0 · 99–1–0
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Glentoran 1–0 Limavady United
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Glentoran win: 67% at kick-off, 99% now
- 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Glentoran win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
- FTFULL TIME Glentoran 1–0 Limavady United
- FTGlentoran 1–0 Limavady United · Glentoran win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassGlentoran are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Glentoran 67%, draw 18%, Limavady United 15%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Glentoran win67%
Limavady United win15%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueThe BetMcLean Oval
Match timeline
All events
GlentoranMIN
Limavady UnitedEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Glentoran
Limavady United
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Glentoran
Limavady United
Last match: 9 Oct · the Northern Irish Premiership
Last match: 10 Oct · the Northern Irish Premiership
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Glentoran
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Mills
2 R. Cooney
16 E. Schilte-Brown
20 D. Larmour
3 M. Kane
8 A. McEneff
12 G. Sloggett
29 J. Malone
7 R. Clarke
30 J. Jenkins
24 C. McMenamin
Coach · Declan Devine
Substitutes
31 · W. Francis Crellin
11 · J. Daniels
38 · J. Faloona
9 · P. Hoban
19 · B. Gallagher
44 · J. Douglas
41 · C. Rogers-Duffy
Limavady United
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Gallagher
2 J. Riley
4 K. Farren
5 T. Boorman
18 D. Lafferty
23 R. Wilson
7 P. Lowry
8 S. Lowry
11 L. Tosh
16 R. Boorman
10 J. McGonigle
Coach · Paul Owens
Substitutes
6 · A. Jarvis
9 · O. Duffy
17 · J. Butcher
21 · F. Doherty
24 · A. Mullan
28 · L. Fleming
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Glentoran
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Mills
2 R. Cooney
16 E. Schilte-Brown
20 D. Larmour
3 M. Kane
8 A. McEneff
12 G. Sloggett
29 J. Malone
7 R. Clarke
30 J. Jenkins
24 C. McMenamin
Coach · Declan Devine
Substitutes
31 · W. Francis Crellin
11 · J. Daniels
38 · J. Faloona
9 · P. Hoban
19 · B. Gallagher
44 · J. Douglas
41 · C. Rogers-Duffy
Limavady United
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Gallagher
2 J. Riley
4 K. Farren
5 T. Boorman
18 D. Lafferty
23 R. Wilson
7 P. Lowry
8 S. Lowry
11 L. Tosh
16 R. Boorman
10 J. McGonigle
Coach · Paul Owens
Substitutes
6 · A. Jarvis
9 · O. Duffy
17 · J. Butcher
21 · F. Doherty
24 · A. Mullan
28 · L. Fleming
We make Glentoran a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 68%, 67% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran win | 67% | 70% | −3 |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 0 |
| Limavady United win | 15% | 12% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 60% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 51% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 80% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 40% | −7 |
| Glentoran or draw | 85% | 88% | −3 |
| Glentoran clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
| Limavady United clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premiership this season · since 12 Sept
GLENTORAN
LIMAVADY UNITED
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 12 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | Linfield | 10 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 | Larne | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Crusaders FC | 11 | −6 | 15 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 10 | −3 | 13 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville FC | 11 | −1 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 10 | −5 | 12 |
| 11 | Portadown | 11 | −12 | 5 |
| 12 | Bangor | 11 | −14 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Coleraine FC
Linfield
Larne
Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
Dungannon Swifts
Ballymena United
Cliftonville FC
Portadown
Bangor