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Cliftonville FC v Portadown
Cliftonville FC
PortadownPremiership · SAT 17 OCT · Solitude
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cliftonville FC win at 58%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Cliftonville FC 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–21
- 1′KICK-OFF Cliftonville FC v Portadown
- 10′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Cliftonville FC
- 31′Portadown find the net on 30′. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–27–50
- 31′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–27–50
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 22–27–50
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Cliftonville FC 0–1 Portadown
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Cliftonville FC win: 58% at kick-off, 22% now
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Portadown win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Cliftonville FC win 22%)
- 38′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–28–53
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Cliftonville FC win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Cliftonville FC 0–1 Portadown
- 46′SECOND HALF Cliftonville FC 0–1 Portadown
- 50′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–28–58
- 54′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 40–42–18
- 55′A goal for Cliftonville FC on 54′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 39–43–18
- 55′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–43–18
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Cliftonville FC 1–1 Portadown
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Cliftonville FC win: 58% at kick-off, 39% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Portadown win 18%)
- 62′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–16
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Portadown
- 69′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Portadown · On: E. Fyfe · Off: S. O'Mahoney
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Cliftonville FC win: 58% at kick-off, 27% now
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Portadown
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Portadown · On: A. Towe · Off: F. Flanagan
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Cliftonville FC · On: J. Gormley · Off: L. McStravick
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Cliftonville FC win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Cliftonville FC · On: L. Conlan · Off: O. Samuels
- 86′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Cliftonville FC win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Cliftonville FC · On: K. Hawthorne · Off: B. Quinn
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Portadown · On: C. Falls · Off: L. Chapman
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Portadown · On: J. Scott · Off: B. Kennedy
- 92′We said Cliftonville FC at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- 93′Portadown score on 90′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–3–97
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Cliftonville FC 1–2 Portadown
- 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Portadown win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
- 94′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–2–98
- FTFULL TIME Cliftonville FC 1–2 Portadown
- FTCliftonville FC 1–2 Portadown · Cliftonville FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCliftonville FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Cliftonville FC 58%, draw 21%, Portadown 21%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Cliftonville FC win58%
Portadown win21%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueSolitude
Match timeline
All events
Cliftonville FCMIN
PortadownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Cliftonville FC
Portadown
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Cliftonville FC
Portadown
Last match: 10 Oct · the Northern Irish Premiership
Last match: 9 Oct · the Northern Irish Premiership
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Cliftonville FC
Formation not confirmed
31 P. Morrison
2 A. Wightman
3 O. Samuels
6 H. Wilson
8 R. Hale
10 B. Healy
12 S. Leppard
16 D. McMaster
20 B. Quinn
25 A. Bannon
27 L. McStravick
Coach · Jim Magilton
Substitutes
22 · J. Cremen Cowan
14 · L. Conlan
15 · K. McClelland
17 · J. Thompson
19 · J. Gormley
36 · K. Hawthorne
41 · J. Sheridan
Portadown
Formation not confirmed
1 A. McCarey
2 D. Isamala
3 M. Carson
4 B. Altintop
7 L. Chapman
17 S. O'Mahoney
19 J. Teelan
23 M. Hewitt
26 G. Thompson
28 B. Kennedy
34 F. Flanagan
Coach · David Jeffrey
Substitutes
6 · R. Minzamba
8 · A. Towe
9 · C. Falls
10 · E. Fyfe
11 · L. Jessop
14 · B. Wells
22 · J. Scott
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Cliftonville FC
Formation not confirmed
31 P. Morrison
2 A. Wightman
3 O. Samuels
6 H. Wilson
8 R. Hale
10 B. Healy
12 S. Leppard
16 D. McMaster
20 B. Quinn
25 A. Bannon
27 L. McStravick
Coach · Jim Magilton
Substitutes
22 · J. Cremen Cowan
14 · L. Conlan
15 · K. McClelland
17 · J. Thompson
19 · J. Gormley
36 · K. Hawthorne
41 · J. Sheridan
Portadown
Formation not confirmed
1 A. McCarey
2 D. Isamala
3 M. Carson
4 B. Altintop
7 L. Chapman
17 S. O'Mahoney
19 J. Teelan
23 M. Hewitt
26 G. Thompson
28 B. Kennedy
34 F. Flanagan
Coach · David Jeffrey
Substitutes
6 · R. Minzamba
8 · A. Towe
9 · C. Falls
10 · E. Fyfe
11 · L. Jessop
14 · B. Wells
22 · J. Scott
We make Cliftonville FC a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cliftonville FC win | 58% | 53% | +5 |
| Draw | 21% | 24% | −3 |
| Portadown win | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 58% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 58% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 79% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 37% | −6 |
| Cliftonville FC or draw | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| Cliftonville FC clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Portadown clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premiership this season · since 12 Sept
CLIFTONVILLE FC
PORTADOWN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 12 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | Linfield | 10 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 | Larne | 8 | +11 | 19 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Crusaders FC | 11 | −6 | 15 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 10 | −3 | 13 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Cliftonville FC | 11 | −1 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 10 | −5 | 12 |
| 11 | Portadown | 11 | −12 | 5 |
| 12 | Bangor | 11 | −14 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Coleraine FC
Linfield
Larne
Glentoran
Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
Dungannon Swifts
Ballymena United
Limavady United
Bangor