Carrick Rangers v Linfield

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Linfield win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Linfield was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 25–23–52
3. 1′KICK-OFF Carrick Rangers v Linfield
4. 8′Much as we predicted: Linfield was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 25–24–51
5. 12′Linfield score on 11′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–16–75
6. 12′We published Linfield at 53%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 8–16–75
7. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Carrick Rangers 0–1 Linfield
8. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 75% now
9. 24′Carrick Rangers find the net on 24′. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–29–47
10. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Carrick Rangers 1–1 Linfield
11. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 47% now
12. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
13. 41′A goal for Linfield on 40′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–17–77
14. 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Carrick Rangers 1–2 Linfield
15. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
16. 42′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–17–78
17. 45′HALF-TIME Carrick Rangers 1–2 Linfield
18. 46′SECOND HALF Carrick Rangers 1–2 Linfield
19. 52′Carrick Rangers score on 52′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 21–42–37
20. 52′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 2–2 · 21–42–37
21. 52′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 21–42–37
22. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Carrick Rangers 2–2 Linfield
23. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 37% now
24. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Linfield win 37%)
25. 58′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 19–47–34
26. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
27. 62′PENALTY MISSED · 61' Linfield
28. 66′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 17–54–29
29. 72′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 14–62–24
30. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
31. 77′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 11–70–19
32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Linfield · On: A. Frizzell · Off: K. Nelson
33. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Linfield · On: D. Wells · Off: R. Brennan
34. 81′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 9–77–14
35. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
36. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Linfield
37. 85′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 6–85–9
38. 91′We said Linfield at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–93–4
39. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Linfield win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
40. FTFULL TIME Carrick Rangers 2–2 Linfield
41. FTCarrick Rangers 2–2 Linfield · Linfield win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.