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Rathfriland v Ards
RathfrilandArdsLeague Cup · TUE 20 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 0–0, the score after 90 minutes. It was decided on penalties.
Corrected on 23 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 1–0; the score is now 0–0 and the grades above follow it.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Rathfriland just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Rathfriland 39%, draw 26%, Ards 35%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Rathfriland win39%Ards win35%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
RathfrilandMINArdsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Rathfriland
Ards
Last match: 17 Oct · the Northern Irish Championship
Last match: 16 Oct · the Northern Irish Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Rathfriland a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 37%, 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland win | 39% | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – |
| Ards win | 35% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – | – |
| Rathfriland or draw | 65% | – | – |
| Rathfriland clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Ards clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League Cup this season
RATHFRILAND
No matches in our record yet.
ARDS
No matches in our record yet.