Home › Football › League Cup › Bangor v Dungannon Swifts
Back
Bangor v Dungannon Swifts
BangorDungannon SwiftsLeague Cup · TUE 20 OCT · Clandeboye Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dungannon Swifts win at 40%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Dungannon Swifts 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 36–24–40
- 1′KICK-OFF Bangor v Dungannon Swifts
- 9′Dungannon Swifts score on 9′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–21–65
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Bangor 0–1 Dungannon Swifts
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Dungannon Swifts win: 40% at kick-off, 65% now
- 10′We said Dungannon Swifts at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 15–21–65
- 17′Dungannon Swifts find the net on 16′. 0–2. 0–2 · 4–9–86
- 17′We said Dungannon Swifts at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–2 · 4–9–86
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 16' Bangor 0–2 Dungannon Swifts
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Dungannon Swifts win: 40% at kick-off, 86% now
- 21′A goal for Bangor on 20′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 13–21–66
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Bangor 1–2 Dungannon Swifts
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Dungannon Swifts win: 40% at kick-off, 66% now
- 31′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 11–21–67
- 42′We said Dungannon Swifts at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–2 · 9–21–70
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Dungannon Swifts win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Bangor 1–2 Dungannon Swifts
- 46′SECOND HALF Bangor 1–2 Dungannon Swifts
- 59′We said Dungannon Swifts at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 5–20–75
- 69′We said Dungannon Swifts at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Dungannon Swifts win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
- 82′We said Dungannon Swifts at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Dungannon Swifts win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
- 88′We said Dungannon Swifts at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- FTFULL TIME Bangor 1–2 Dungannon Swifts
- FTBangor 1–2 Dungannon Swifts · Dungannon Swifts win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Dungannon Swifts just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Bangor 36%, draw 23%, Dungannon Swifts 40%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Bangor win36%Dungannon Swifts win40%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 32
VenueClandeboye Park
Match timeline
All events
BangorMINDungannon SwiftsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bangor
Dungannon Swifts
Last match: 17 Oct · the Northern Irish Premiership
Last match: 17 Oct · the Northern Irish Premiership
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dungannon Swifts a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor win | 36% | 24% | +12 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Dungannon Swifts win | 40% | 51% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 54% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 77% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 34% | −3 |
| Bangor or draw | 60% | 49% | +11 |
| Bangor clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Dungannon Swifts clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League Cup this season
BANGOR
No matches in our record yet.
DUNGANNON SWIFTS
No matches in our record yet.