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Ballinamallard United v Queen's University
Ballinamallard UnitedQueen's UniversityLeague Cup · TUE 20 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 1–1, the score after 90 minutes. Queen's University won 1–3 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Queen's University win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Queen's University was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 31–27–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Ballinamallard United v Queen's University
- 17′A goal for Ballinamallard United on 17′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 60–23–16
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Ballinamallard United 1–0 Queen's University
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Queen's University win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
- 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Ballinamallard United win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Queen's University win 40%)
- 18′We said Queen's University at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 1–0 · 61–23–16
- 26′We said Queen's University at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–24–14
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 63–24–13
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Queen's University win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Ballinamallard United 1–0 Queen's University
- 46′We said Queen's University at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–23–9
- 46′SECOND HALF Ballinamallard United 1–0 Queen's University
- 64′We said Queen's University at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 75–20–4
- 68′Queen's University score on 68′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 18–60–22
- 68′We said Queen's University at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 18–60–22
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Ballinamallard United 1–1 Queen's University
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Queen's University win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Ballinamallard United win 77%)
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Queen's University win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 52%. 1–1 · 21–52–27
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Queen's University win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- 96′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 58%. 1–1 · 19–58–24
- 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Ballinamallard United 1–1 Queen's University
- FTBallinamallard United 1–1 Queen's University after 90 minutes, as graded · Queen's University win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Queen's University are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ballinamallard United 31%, draw 27%, Queen's University 42%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Ballinamallard United win31%Queen's University win42%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
Ballinamallard UnitedMINQueen's UniversityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ballinamallard United
Queen's University
Last match: 17 Oct · the Northern Irish Championship
Last match: 17 Oct · the Northern Irish Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Queen's University a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinamallard United win | 31% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| Queen's University win | 42% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | – | – |
| Ballinamallard United or draw | 58% | – | – |
| Ballinamallard United clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Queen's University clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League Cup this season
BALLINAMALLARD UNITED
No matches in our record yet.
QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY
No matches in our record yet.