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Model 1.2

Home › Football › League Cup › Armagh City v H&W Welders

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Armagh City v H&W Welders

Armagh City
1–3Full time
H&W Welders

League Cup · TUE 20 OCT

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 22:30
Armagh City 1–3 H&W Welders H&W WELDERS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said H&W Welders win70%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.135

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

H&W Welders are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Armagh City 14%, draw 16%, H&W Welders 70%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Armagh City v H&W WeldersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Armagh City win14%
Draw16%
H&W Welders win70%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Armagh City

H&W Welders

3Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · the Northern Irish Championship

Last match: 16 Oct · the Northern Irish Championship

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · h&w welders winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 17 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
70% The market–
Us70%

We make H&W Welders a 70% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Armagh City v H&W Welders1.17 – 2.75

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 14 OCT 04:2820 OCT 19:15
Our probability · H&W Welders win

Published at 71%, 70% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Armagh City win14%––
Draw16%––
H&W Welders win70%––
Over 2.5 goals74%––
Both teams to score64%––
Over 1.5 goals90%––
Over 3.5 goals55%––
Armagh City or draw30%––
Armagh City clean sheet7%––
H&W Welders clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.6%
0123450 2.2 5.6 7.5 6.8 4.7 2.61 2.4 6.5 8.6 7.8 5.3 3.02 3.8 5.0 4.5 3.1 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Armagh City down, H&W Welders across0–5 goals a side shown (93.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.71
Over 2.56 of 7
Both scored1 of 7
Last meetingsHAN 1–0 ARM · HAN 12–0 ARM · ARM 0–3 HAN · HAN 3–0 ARM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · League Cup this season

ARMAGH CITY

No matches in our record yet.

H&W WELDERS

No matches in our record yet.