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Queen's University v Ballinamallard United

Queen's University

0–1Full time

Ballinamallard United

Championship · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Queen's University 0–1 Ballinamallard United QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Queen's University win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.965

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Queen's University win54%

Draw25%

Ballinamallard United win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · queen's university winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Queen's University a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Queen's University win	54%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Ballinamallard United win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Queen's University or draw	78%	–	–
Queen's University clean sheet	40%	–	–
Ballinamallard United clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.4%

0123450 7.8 7.1 3.4 1 12.4 11.5 5.4 2 10.1 9.3 4.4 3 5.6 5.2 2.4 4 2.4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Queen's University down, Ballinamallard United across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,231 Championship matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.7% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Queen's University at home: 2.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Ballinamallard United away: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for Queen's University, 0.94 for Ballinamallard United. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BAL 1–1 QUE · QUE 0–3 BAL · BAL 0–3 QUE · BAL 5–0 QUE

Form · last six in Championship

QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY

WWWLLW3–0 · 6–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

BALLINAMALLARD UNITED

LWDWLD1–3 · 6–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Annagh United	10	+11	21
2	Glenavon FC	10	+12	20
3	Newington Youth	11	+4	20
4	Queen's University	10	+13	19
5	Newry City AFC	11	0	18
6	Institute	10	+3	16
7	H&W Welders	10	+2	15
8	Ards	11	+1	15
9	Warrenpoint Town	10	+3	14
10	Ballinamallard United	10	0	14
11	Loughgall	10	−5	13
12	Dundela	11	−4	11
13	Moyola Park	10	−10	11
14	Strabane Athletic	10	−9	9
15	Rathfriland	11	−12	9
16	Armagh City	11	−9	5