Warri Wolves v Inter Lagos prediction · NPFL

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Warri Wolves 3–1 Inter Lagos WARRI WOLVES WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Warri Wolves win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.245

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Warri Wolves win60%

Draw26%

Inter Lagos win14%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

VenueWarri Township Stadium

Line-ups

Warri Wolves

Inter Lagos

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Warri Wolves

Inter Lagos

7Days since last match7

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027/28

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
18	Warri Wolves	7	−3	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	−6	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Warri Wolves

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Adeniyi

4 A. Olayemi

3 C. Milekwu

5 E. Itolowo

2 S. E. Gift

18 E. Uzoechi

28 C. Orji

23 S. Shuaibu

8 U. Sabastine

15 C. Olisemah

11 A. Emmanuel

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · J. Lucky

24 · C. Ogbun

14 · A. Yusuff

25 · I. Oladeji

37 · C. Divine

12 · J. Innocent Akawu

10 · O. Egbo

6 · D. Joseph

38 · K. Osamudiamen

Inter Lagos

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Saviour

6 I. Quadri

3 A. Azeez

35 T. Emonena

33 J. Danga

12 K. Agabi

10 A. Quyum

11 N. Uchenna

9 K. Iyede

8 T. Ewarawon

5 J. Emmanuel

Coach · –

Substitutes

28 · F. Bala

29 · K. Moses

21 · C. Bonaventure

23 · F. Osas

24 · O. Ozornwafor

20 · D. Adigun

15 · M. Ezekiel

7 · H. Bashiru

30 · J. Isokangas

Our number · warri wolves winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Warri Wolves a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Warri Wolves win	60%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Inter Lagos win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Warri Wolves or draw	86%	–	–
Warri Wolves clean sheet	58%	–	–
Inter Lagos clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 19.4%

0123450 13.3 7.2 1 19.4 10.6 2.9 2 14.4 7.8 2.1 3 7.2 3.9 4 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Warri Wolves down, Inter Lagos across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,787 NPFL matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NPFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.1% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Warri Wolves at home: 1.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Inter Lagos away: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.49 goals for Warri Wolves, 0.55 for Inter Lagos. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NPFL

WARRI WOLVES

LWDWLL0–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

INTER LAGOS

LLWDLD0–1 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2027/28

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enugu Rangers	7	+5	16
2	Rivers United	7	+11	15
3	Doma United	7	+2	13
4	Barau FC	7	+3	12
5	Ikorodu City	8	+3	12
6	Bendel Insurance	7	+2	12
7	Katsina United	8	−1	12
8	Kano Pillars	7	+4	11
9	Plateau United	7	+1	11
10	Kwara United	8	0	10
11	Sporting Lagos	7	0	9
12	Niger Tornadoes	8	−1	9
13	Ranchers Bees	8	−1	8
14	Shooting Stars	7	−2	8
15	Nasarawa United	7	−2	8
16	Abia Warriors	7	−3	8
17	Enyimba	8	−3	7
18	Warri Wolves	7	−3	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	−6	5
20	Kun Khalifat FC	7	−9	5