

Shooting Stars v Ranchers Bees
Shooting Stars
Ranchers BeesNPFL · FRI 16 OCT · Lekan Salami Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Shooting Stars win at 61%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Shooting Stars was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–25–14
- 1′KICK-OFF Shooting Stars v Ranchers Bees
- 13′We published Shooting Stars at 61%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–11–3
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Shooting Stars 1–0 Ranchers Bees
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Shooting Stars win: 61% at kick-off, 86% now
- 15′Shooting Stars find the net on 14′. 1–0. 1–0 · 86–11–3
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 86–12–3
- 37′We said Shooting Stars at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–37–14
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Shooting Stars 1–1 Ranchers Bees
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Shooting Stars win: 61% at kick-off, 49% now
- 38′A goal for Ranchers Bees on 38′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 48–38–14
- 45′SECOND HALF Shooting Stars 2–1 Ranchers Bees
- 46′We said Shooting Stars at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–42–13
- 47′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 87–11–2
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Shooting Stars 2–1 Ranchers Bees
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Shooting Stars win: 61% at kick-off, 87% now
- 48′Shooting Stars score on 45′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–2
- 48′HALF-TIME Shooting Stars 2–1 Ranchers Bees
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Ranchers Bees
- 53′PENALTY MISSED · 53' Shooting Stars
- 64′🟨 YELLOW · 51' S. Faisal · Ranchers Bees
- 66′We published Shooting Stars at 61%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Shooting Stars · On: Q. Adegoke · Off: T. Otaniyi
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Shooting Stars · On: A. Dalhatu · Off: R. O. Olanrewaju
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Shooting Stars · On: L. Emmanuel · Off: D. Akinola
- 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Ranchers Bees
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Shooting Stars win: 61% at kick-off, 91% now
- 71′We published Shooting Stars at 61%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Shooting Stars 3–1 Ranchers Bees
- 72′Shooting Stars find the net on 72′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–0–0
- 72′4 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–0–0
- 73′We published Shooting Stars at 61%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Shooting Stars
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Shooting Stars
- 94′Full time, 3–1. We called Shooting Stars at 61% — that one lands. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Shooting Stars 3–1 Ranchers Bees
- FTShooting Stars 3–1 Ranchers Bees · Shooting Stars win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassShooting Stars are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Shooting Stars 61%, draw 25%, Ranchers Bees 14%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 37%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Shooting Stars win61%
Ranchers Bees win14%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueLekan Salami Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Shooting StarsMIN
Ranchers BeesEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Shooting Stars
Ranchers Bees
Last match: 11 Oct · NPFL
Last match: 10 Oct · NPFL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Shooting Stars a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.6–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shooting Stars win | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Ranchers Bees win | 14% | 13% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 37% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 37% | 36% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 61% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 19% | 0 |
| Shooting Stars or draw | 86% | 87% | −1 |
| Shooting Stars clean sheet | 54% | – | – |
| Ranchers Bees clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 13 Sept
SHOOTING STARS
RANCHERS BEES
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | −1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 8 | −1 | 10 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat FC | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | −8 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enugu Rangers
Rivers United
Plateau United
Barau FC
Doma United
Ikorodu City
Bendel Insurance
Sporting Lagos
Katsina United
Kano Pillars
Nasarawa United
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
Niger Tornadoes
Abia Warriors
Kun Khalifat FC
Enyimba
Inter Lagos