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Ranchers Bees v Niger Tornadoes

Ranchers Bees
0–0Full time
Niger Tornadoes

NPFL · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32
Ranchers Bees 0–0 Niger Tornadoes RANCHERS BEES WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ranchers Bees win61%
The market said57%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.948
The market’s Brier score0.876

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ranchers Bees win at 61%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ranchers Bees was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 60–25–14
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ranchers Bees v Niger Tornadoes
  4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Niger Tornadoes
  5. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Niger Tornadoes
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Ranchers Bees 0–0 Niger Tornadoes
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Ranchers Bees 0–0 Niger Tornadoes
  8. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Ranchers Bees 1–0 Niger Tornadoes
  9. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Niger Tornadoes
  10. 90′🟥 RED CARD · 94' Ranchers Bees
  11. FTFULL TIME Ranchers Bees 0–0 Niger Tornadoes
  12. FTRanchers Bees 0–0 Niger Tornadoes · Ranchers Bees win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ranchers Bees win61%
Draw25%
Niger Tornadoes win14%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Ranchers Bees

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Tofa

12 S. Yusuf

23 M. Kabiru

6 I. Inuwa

5 H. Yakubu

21 R. Ohuei

10 K. Tijjani

8 M. Eronmose

7 M. Jibrin

19 J. Yusuf

11 O. Emoikhare

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · S. Temitope

24 · A. Ayinla

3 · S. Gamagira

2 · G. Sunday

17 · I. Ndala

13 · A. Naziru

37 · A. Nnamani

18 · M. Salisu

9 · C. Okorie

Niger Tornadoes

Formation not confirmed

13 D. Julu

23 U. Audu

3 M. Aliyu

19 B. Hannafi

21 Y. Abdulazeez

5 S. Akinmoladun

29 A. Hussaini

8 B. Oluwaseun

9 I. Sarki

20 S. Abubakar

32 B. Usman

Coach · –

Substitutes

16 · D. Hussaini

30 · A. Kolimba

4 · M. Obiafudo

22 · M. Afeez

14 · I. Okoye

26 · M. Olalusi

35 · J. Bulus

15 · R. Mendos

6 · W. Jimoh

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Ranchers Bees

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Tofa

12 S. Yusuf

23 M. Kabiru

6 I. Inuwa

5 H. Yakubu

21 R. Ohuei

10 K. Tijjani

8 M. Eronmose

7 M. Jibrin

19 J. Yusuf

11 O. Emoikhare

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · S. Temitope

24 · A. Ayinla

3 · S. Gamagira

2 · G. Sunday

17 · I. Ndala

13 · A. Naziru

37 · A. Nnamani

18 · M. Salisu

9 · C. Okorie

Niger Tornadoes

Formation not confirmed

13 D. Julu

23 U. Audu

3 M. Aliyu

19 B. Hannafi

21 Y. Abdulazeez

5 S. Akinmoladun

29 A. Hussaini

8 B. Oluwaseun

9 I. Sarki

20 S. Abubakar

32 B. Usman

Coach · –

Substitutes

16 · D. Hussaini

30 · A. Kolimba

4 · M. Obiafudo

22 · M. Afeez

14 · I. Okoye

26 · M. Olalusi

35 · J. Bulus

15 · R. Mendos

6 · W. Jimoh

Our number · ranchers bees winPublished 10 Oct 16:17
61% The market57%
Us61%
Market57%

We make Ranchers Bees a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.6.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 15:49
Our probability · ranchers bees win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ranchers Bees win61%57%+3
Draw25%28%−2
Niger Tornadoes win14%15%−1
Over 2.5 goals37%37%0
Both teams to score35%37%−2
Over 1.5 goals63%61%+2
Over 3.5 goals17%20%−2
Ranchers Bees or draw86%85%+1
Ranchers Bees clean sheet55%––
Niger Tornadoes clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.0%
0123450 11.6 7.0 2.1 1 18.0 10.7 3.2 2 13.9 8.3 2.5 3 7.3 4.4 4 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ranchers Bees down, Niger Tornadoes across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in NPFL

RANCHERS BEES

WLWLDL4–0 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2

NIGER TORNADOES

LDLDLW2–3 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2027/28
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Enugu Rangers7+516
2Rivers United7+1115
3Doma United7+213
4Barau FC7+312
5Bendel Insurance7+212
6Katsina United8−112
7Kano Pillars7+411
8Plateau United7+111
9Kwara United7+210
10Ikorodu City7+19
11Sporting Lagos709
12Niger Tornadoes7−18
13Shooting Stars7−28
14Nasarawa United7−28
15Abia Warriors7−38
16Ranchers Bees7−17
17Enyimba8−37
18Warri Wolves7−37
19Inter Lagos7−65
20Kun Khalifat FC7−95

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.