Plateau United v Sporting Lagos

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Plateau United win at 65%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Plateau United 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–23–12
3. 1′KICK-OFF Plateau United v Sporting Lagos
4. 11′Sporting Lagos find the net on 10′. 0–1. 0–1 · 34–28–38
5. 11′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–28–38
6. 11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Plateau United 0–1 Sporting Lagos
7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 34% now
8. 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Sporting Lagos win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Plateau United win 33%)
9. 22′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–30–41
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 25–30–44
11. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 25% now
12. 32′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–30–45
13. 35′A goal for Plateau United on 35′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 53–34–13
14. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Plateau United 1–1 Sporting Lagos
15. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 53% now
16. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Plateau United win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Sporting Lagos win 13%)
17. 36′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 1–1 · 53–34–12
18. 42′V. Dawa scores for Plateau United on 34′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 50–38–12
19. 44′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–39–12
20. 45′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 88–10–2
21. 45′HALF-TIME Plateau United 2–1 Sporting Lagos
22. 46′SECOND HALF Plateau United 2–1 Sporting Lagos
23. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 45% now
24. 52′Plateau United score on 45′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–10–1
25. 52′We said Plateau United at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–10–1
26. 52′⚽ GOAL · 45+6' Plateau United 2–1 Sporting Lagos
27. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+7' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 88% now
28. 53′Sporting Lagos find the net on 53′. 2–2. 2–2 · 43–45–12
29. 53′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 2–2 · 43–45–12
30. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Plateau United 2–2 Sporting Lagos
31. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 43% now
32. 54′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 43–46–11
33. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Plateau United win 42%)
34. 59′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–50–11
35. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 35% now
36. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 25% now
37. 79′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–76–6
38. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
39. 82′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–82–4
40. 83′A goal for Sporting Lagos on 82′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 1–11–88
41. 83′We said Plateau United at 65%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–3 · 1–11–88
42. 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Plateau United 2–3 Sporting Lagos
43. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Plateau United win: 65% at kick-off, 1% now
44. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Sporting Lagos win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
45. 84′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–10–89
46. 89′A. J. Adeede scores for Sporting Lagos on 83′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 0–6–94
47. FTFULL TIME Plateau United 2–3 Sporting Lagos
48. FTPlateau United 2–3 Sporting Lagos · Plateau United win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.