Nasarawa United v Enyimba prediction · NPFL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nasarawa UnitedDrawEnyimba

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Nasarawa United 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nasarawa United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nasarawa United 57%, draw 27%, Enyimba 16%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Nasarawa United v EnyimbaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Nasarawa United win57%

Draw27%

Enyimba win16%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueLafia Township Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nasarawa United

Enyimba

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · NPFL

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Nasarawa United	9	+2	14
18	Enyimba	9	−3	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nasarawa united winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Nasarawa United a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nasarawa United v Enyimba~~1.48 – 0.64

~~Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 20 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 8~~6 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nasarawa United win	57%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Enyimba win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Nasarawa United or draw	84%	–	–
Nasarawa United clean sheet	53%	–	–
Enyimba clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.6%

0123450 12.2 7.6 2.5 1 17.6 11.5 3.6 2 13.1 8.3 2.7 3 6.5 4.1 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nasarawa United down, Enyimba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,804 NPFL matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NPFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.2% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nasarawa United at home: 1.50 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Enyimba away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Nasarawa United, 0.64 for Enyimba. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~7 of 8

~~Last meetings~~NAS 1–1 ENY · ENY 0–0 NAS · NAS 3–2 ENY · ENY 2–1 NAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 20 Sept

NASARAWA UNITED

DLWDWW1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

ENYIMBA

LDWWLD2–3 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 2–4 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rivers United	9	+11	17
2	Enugu Rangers	8	+5	17
3	Plateau United	10	+4	15
4	Sporting Lagos	9	+2	15
5	Barau FC	9	+3	14
6	Nasarawa United	9	+2	14
7	Kano Pillars	9	+1	14
8	Doma United	9	0	14
9	Katsina United	10	−2	13
10	Ikorodu City	9	+2	12
11	Bendel Insurance	8	+1	12
12	Niger Tornadoes	9	0	12
13	Kwara United	9	0	11
14	Warri Wolves	9	−1	11
15	Shooting Stars	9	−2	11
16	Abia Warriors	9	−3	10
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	−7	9
18	Enyimba	9	−3	8
19	Ranchers Bees	9	−3	8
20	Inter Lagos	9	−13	2