Kun Khalifat FC v Shooting Stars prediction · NPFL

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Kun Khalifat FC 2–0 Shooting Stars KUN KHALIFAT FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kun Khalifat FC win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.270

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kun Khalifat FC win58%

Draw26%

Shooting Stars win17%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Line-ups

Kun Khalifat FC

Shooting Stars

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kun Khalifat FC

Shooting Stars

7Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027/28

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Shooting Stars	7	−2	8
20	Kun Khalifat FC	7	−9	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Kun Khalifat FC

Formation not confirmed

35 E. Ekwujuru

17 I. Igwe

4 J. Ameh

3 S. Adehi

30 P. Ikechukwu

2 E. Ejogharado

14 E. Okoro

29 U. Onuoha

10 C. Deruo

19 A. Chijioke

11 C. Agor

Coach · –

Substitutes

20 · J. Ebhohon

1 · N. Abong

22 · M. Akano

25 · J. Dominic

6 · S. Preye

40 · E. Onuawuchi

8 · E. Oghenetega

7 · V. Ikechukwu

28 · B. Onyedikachi

Shooting Stars

Formation not confirmed

16 M. Lawal

22 I. Falke

33 Chikamuso

23 G. Adelowo

28 J. Apaingolo

24 T. Azeez

32 S. Amos

17 A. Taheer

12 Q. Adegoke

10 J. Aule

27 S. Ibrahim

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · E. Godgift

4 · D. Ojietefian

29 · J. Amusat

6 · O. Akala

– · J. Akpan

8 · A. Dalhatu

37 · D. Akinola

11 · R. O. Olanrewaju

14 · L. Emmanuel

Our number · kun khalifat fc winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Kun Khalifat FC a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kun Khalifat FC win	58%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Shooting Stars win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Kun Khalifat FC or draw	83%	–	–
Kun Khalifat FC clean sheet	50%	–	–
Shooting Stars clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.6%

0123450 10.9 7.4 2.5 1 16.6 11.3 3.9 2 12.8 8.7 3.0 3 6.6 4.5 4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kun Khalifat FC down, Shooting Stars across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,787 NPFL matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

NPFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.1% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kun Khalifat FC at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Shooting Stars away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Kun Khalifat FC, 0.68 for Shooting Stars. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KUN 2–0 SHO · SHO 2–1 KUN

Form · last six in NPFL

KUN KHALIFAT FC

DLLLWL0–0 · 2–4 · 2–4 · 0–5 · 1–0 · 0–1

SHOOTING STARS

LWLLDD1–3 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2027/28

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enugu Rangers	7	+5	16
2	Rivers United	7	+11	15
3	Doma United	7	+2	13
4	Barau FC	7	+3	12
5	Ikorodu City	8	+3	12
6	Bendel Insurance	7	+2	12
7	Katsina United	8	−1	12
8	Kano Pillars	7	+4	11
9	Plateau United	7	+1	11
10	Kwara United	8	0	10
11	Sporting Lagos	7	0	9
12	Niger Tornadoes	8	−1	9
13	Ranchers Bees	8	−1	8
14	Shooting Stars	7	−2	8
15	Nasarawa United	7	−2	8
16	Abia Warriors	7	−3	8
17	Enyimba	8	−3	7
18	Warri Wolves	7	−3	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	−6	5
20	Kun Khalifat FC	7	−9	5