Kun Khalifat FC v Inter Lagos prediction · NPFL

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kun Khalifat FCDrawInter Lagos

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kun Khalifat FC 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kun Khalifat FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kun Khalifat FC 66%, draw 22%, Inter Lagos 12%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Kun Khalifat FC v Inter LagosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kun Khalifat FC win66%

Draw22%

Inter Lagos win12%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kun Khalifat FC

Inter Lagos

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · NPFL

Last match: 18 Oct · NPFL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	−7	9
20	Inter Lagos	9	−13	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kun khalifat fc winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Kun Khalifat FC a 66% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kun Khalifat FC v Inter Lagos~~1.78 – 0.58

~~Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 20 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 2~~17 v 20

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kun Khalifat FC win	66%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Inter Lagos win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Kun Khalifat FC or draw	88%	–	–
Kun Khalifat FC clean sheet	56%	–	–
Inter Lagos clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.6%

0123450 9.7 5.5 1 16.6 9.8 2.8 2 14.7 8.5 2.5 3 8.8 5.1 4 4.0 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kun Khalifat FC down, Inter Lagos across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,804 NPFL matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NPFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.2% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kun Khalifat FC at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Inter Lagos away: 0.75 scored, 1.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Kun Khalifat FC, 0.58 for Inter Lagos. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 20 Sept

KUN KHALIFAT FC

LLWLWD2–4 · 0–5 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1

INTER LAGOS

WDLDLL1–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rivers United	9	+11	17
2	Enugu Rangers	8	+5	17
3	Plateau United	10	+4	15
4	Sporting Lagos	9	+2	15
5	Barau FC	9	+3	14
6	Nasarawa United	9	+2	14
7	Kano Pillars	9	+1	14
8	Doma United	9	0	14
9	Katsina United	10	−2	13
10	Ikorodu City	9	+2	12
11	Bendel Insurance	8	+1	12
12	Niger Tornadoes	9	0	12
13	Kwara United	9	0	11
14	Warri Wolves	9	−1	11
15	Shooting Stars	9	−2	11
16	Abia Warriors	9	−3	10
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	−7	9
18	Enyimba	9	−3	8
19	Ranchers Bees	9	−3	8
20	Inter Lagos	9	−13	2