Enugu Rangers v Bendel Insurance prediction · NPFL

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Enugu Rangers are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Enugu Rangers 64%, draw 24%, Bendel Insurance 12%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 33%.

The AI’s read on Enugu Rangers v Bendel InsuranceBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Enugu Rangers win64%

Draw24%

Bendel Insurance win12%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueNnamdi Azikiwe Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Enugu Rangers

Bendel Insurance

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · NPFL

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · enugu rangers winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Enugu Rangers a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Enugu Rangers v Bendel Insurance~~1.61 – 0.54

~~Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 13 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 17 v 12~~1 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Enugu Rangers win	64%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Bendel Insurance win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	33%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Enugu Rangers or draw	88%	–	–
Enugu Rangers clean sheet	58%	–	–
Bendel Insurance clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.6%

0123450 11.9 6.2 1 18.6 10.2 2.7 2 15.0 8.1 2.2 3 8.1 4.4 4 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Enugu Rangers down, Bendel Insurance across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,797 NPFL matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: NPFL matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.2% of games this season, across 83 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Enugu Rangers at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Bendel Insurance away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Enugu Rangers, 0.54 for Bendel Insurance. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~ENU 2–1 BEN · BEN 1–1 ENU · BEN 0–0 ENU · ENU 3–2 BEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 13 Sept

ENUGU RANGERS

WWLWWD4–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–2

BENDEL INSURANCE

WLWLWL4–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 4–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Enugu Rangers	8	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	+5	14
4	Doma United	9	0	14
5	Barau FC	8	+3	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	−1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	0	11
11	Kwara United	9	0	11
12	Nasarawa United	8	0	11
13	Shooting Stars	9	−2	11
14	Warri Wolves	8	−1	10
15	Abia Warriors	9	−3	10
16	Niger Tornadoes	8	−1	9
17	Kun Khalifat FC	9	−7	9
18	Ranchers Bees	9	−3	8
19	Enyimba	8	−3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	−8	2