

Doma United v Kun Khalifat FC
Doma United
Kun Khalifat FCNPFL · SAT 17 OCT · Pantami Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Doma United win at 58%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Doma United 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–26–16
- 1′KICK-OFF Doma United v Kun Khalifat FC
- 29′Kun Khalifat FC find the net on 29′. 0–1. 0–1 · 20–29–51
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Doma United 0–1 Kun Khalifat FC
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 20% now
- 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Kun Khalifat FC win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Doma United win 20%)
- 30′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–29–51
- 31′GOAL DISALLOWED · 31' Kun Khalifat FC
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 49% now
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Doma United win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Kun Khalifat FC win 16%)
- 37′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–39–15
- 41′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–41–15
- 45′HALF-TIME Doma United 0–0 Kun Khalifat FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Doma United 0–0 Kun Khalifat FC
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Doma United win 40%)
- 51′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–47–14
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
- 55′Kun Khalifat FC find the net on 55′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–27–63
- 55′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 0–1 · 10–27–63
- 55′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 10–27–63
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Doma United 0–1 Kun Khalifat FC
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 10% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Kun Khalifat FC win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Draw 27%)
- 57′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–27–65
- 59′A goal for Doma United on 58′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–53–13
- 59′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–53–13
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Doma United 1–1 Kun Khalifat FC
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 34% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Kun Khalifat FC win 13%)
- 66′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–60–11
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
- 76′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–73–8
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Doma United win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- 91′We said Doma United at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME Doma United 1–1 Kun Khalifat FC
- FTDoma United 1–1 Kun Khalifat FC · Doma United win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassDoma United are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Doma United 58%, draw 26%, Kun Khalifat FC 16%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 37%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Doma United win58%
Kun Khalifat FC win16%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenuePantami Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Doma UnitedMIN
Kun Khalifat FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Doma United
Kun Khalifat FC
Last match: 11 Oct · NPFL
Last match: 11 Oct · NPFL
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Doma United a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 59%, 58% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doma United win | 58% | 66% | −8 |
| Draw | 26% | 21% | +5 |
| Kun Khalifat FC win | 16% | 12% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 54% | −17 |
| Both teams to score | 37% | 47% | −10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 76% | −13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 33% | −16 |
| Doma United or draw | 84% | 88% | −4 |
| Doma United clean sheet | 52% | – | – |
| Kun Khalifat FC clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025/26No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in NPFL this season · since 12 Sept
DOMA UNITED
KUN KHALIFAT FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | −1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Shooting Stars | 9 | −2 | 11 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 8 | −1 | 10 |
| 15 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 17 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | −3 | 8 |
| 18 | Kun Khalifat FC | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | −8 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Enugu Rangers
Rivers United
Plateau United
Barau FC
Ikorodu City
Bendel Insurance
Sporting Lagos
Katsina United
Kano Pillars
Nasarawa United
Shooting Stars
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
Niger Tornadoes
Abia Warriors
Ranchers Bees
Enyimba
Inter Lagos