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Model 1.1

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Barau FC v Enugu Rangers

Barau FC
2–2Full time
Enugu Rangers

NPFL · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Barau FC 2–2 Enugu Rangers BARAU FC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Barau FC win52%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.794
The market’s Brier score0.806

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Barau FC win at 52%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Barau FC v Enugu Rangers
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Barau FC 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–30–18
  4. 3′Little has changed for our model: Barau FC 52% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–31–18
  5. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Barau FC 0–1 Enugu Rangers
  6. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Enugu Rangers
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Barau FC 0–1 Enugu Rangers
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Barau FC 0–1 Enugu Rangers
  9. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Enugu Rangers
  10. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Barau FC 1–1 Enugu Rangers
  11. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Enugu Rangers
  12. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Barau FC 2–1 Enugu Rangers
  13. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Barau FC
  14. 90′⚽ GOAL · 93' Barau FC 2–2 Enugu Rangers
  15. FTFULL TIME Barau FC 2–2 Enugu Rangers
  16. FTBarau FC 2–2 Enugu Rangers · Barau FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Barau FC win52%
Draw30%
Enugu Rangers win18%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Line-ups

Barau FC

Enugu Rangers

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Barau FC

Enugu Rangers

7Days since last match7
1Matches in previous 14 days3

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2027/28

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Enugu Rangers7+516
4Barau FC7+312

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Barau FC

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Chiaha

22 A. Sugau

3 B. Duah

2 O. K. Okagube

33 I. Nura

16 S. Wisdom

13 L. Ahmadu

11 S. Anthony

6 K. Suur

9 S. Chukwudi Oganbor

7 J. Atule

Coach · Ladan Bosso

Substitutes

21 · A. Abubakar

12 · I. Saidu

39 · A. Hussain

10 · C. Azubuike

14 · D. Abdulrahman

23 · E. Kennedy

18 · U. Al Amin

19 · H. Ezeonye

26 · I. Ayoola

Enugu Rangers

Formation not confirmed

33 L. Jimoh

2 C. Oputa

28 P. Clement

23 C. Iwundu

29 W. Akintola

22 E. Okoko

19 I. Okechukwu

6 I. Assurance

39 A. Chinemerem

12 D. Akorede

20 J. Emo

Coach · Ilechukwu Fidelis

Substitutes

32 · A. Ishola

27 · J. Odoh

40 · N. Olisaemeka

35 · U. Ejike

31 · P. Igwe

13 · P. Ezechukwuma

24 · C. Nwobodo

21 · S. V. Chimezie

18 · P. Agu

Our number · barau fc winPublished 11 Oct 16:05
52% The market51%
Us52%
Market51%

We make Barau FC a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.2–0.6.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1911 OCT 04:04
Our probability · barau fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Barau FC win52%51%+1
Draw30%29%+1
Enugu Rangers win18%21%−2
Over 2.5 goals28%38%−9
Both teams to score32%42%−9
Over 1.5 goals55%62%−7
Over 3.5 goals12%19%−8
Barau FC or draw82%79%+2
Barau FC clean sheet55%––
Enugu Rangers clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 19.5%
0123450 15.7 9.5 2.9 1 19.5 11.8 3.6 2 12.2 7.3 2.2 3 5.1 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Barau FC down, Enugu Rangers across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsENU 0–0 BAR · BAR 2–0 ENU

Form · last six in NPFL

BARAU FC

DWDWDL0–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–4

ENUGU RANGERS

WWWLWW2–1 · 4–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2027/28
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Enugu Rangers7+516
2Rivers United7+1115
3Doma United7+213
4Barau FC7+312
5Ikorodu City8+312
6Bendel Insurance7+212
7Katsina United8−112
8Kano Pillars7+411
9Plateau United7+111
10Kwara United8010
11Sporting Lagos709
12Niger Tornadoes8−19
13Ranchers Bees8−18
14Shooting Stars7−28
15Nasarawa United7−28
16Abia Warriors7−38
17Enyimba8−37
18Warri Wolves7−37
19Inter Lagos7−65
20Kun Khalifat FC7−95

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.