San Marcos v H&H Export prediction · Primera Division

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 02:30

San Marcos 0–2 H&H Export SAN MARCOS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said San Marcos win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.698

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said San Marcos win at 41%.
1′KICK-OFF San Marcos v H&H Export
2′Little has changed for our model: San Marcos 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–26–32
5′Little has changed for our model: San Marcos 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–32
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' San Marcos 1–0 H&H Export
45′HALF-TIME San Marcos 0–0 H&H Export
46′SECOND HALF San Marcos 0–0 H&H Export
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' San Marcos 0–1 H&H Export
82′PENALTY MISSED · 82' H&H Export
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' San Marcos 0–2 H&H Export
FTFULL TIME San Marcos 0–2 H&H Export
FTSan Marcos 0–2 H&H Export · San Marcos win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

San Marcos win41%

Draw26%

H&H Export win33%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 00:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

San Marcos

H&H Export

4Days since last match31

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	San Marcos	10	−4	11
7	H&H Export	9	−8	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san marcos winPublished 12 Oct 00:00

41% The market–

Us41%

We make San Marcos a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
San Marcos win	41%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
H&H Export win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
San Marcos or draw	67%	–	–
San Marcos clean sheet	30%	–	–
H&H Export clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.6 8.5 5.4 2.3 1 9.8 12.4 7.4 3.1 2 7.1 8.5 5.2 2.2 3 3.4 4.1 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+San Marcos down, H&H Export across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,037 Primera Division matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.1% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

San Marcos at home: 1.20 scored, 1.60 conceded a game (last 5). H&H Export away: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for San Marcos, 1.24 for H&H Export. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~HAN 1–1 SAN

Form · last six in Primera Division

SAN MARCOS

LWWLWL0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 1–2

H&H EXPORT

WLLDLL1–0 · 1–6 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Managua	10	+23	26
2	Diriangén	11	+10	24
3	Real Estelí	11	+13	21
4	UNAN Managua	10	+5	20
5	Walter Ferretti	11	−2	11
6	San Marcos	10	−4	11
7	H&H Export	9	−8	11
8	Matagalpa	10	−15	9
9	Jalapa	10	−10	5
10	Rancho Santana	10	−12	5