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Matagalpa v Walter Ferretti
MatagalpaWalter FerrettiPrimera Division · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMatagalpa are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Matagalpa 41%, draw 26%, Walter Ferretti 33%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 15 Oct 01:31 · locked at kick-off
Matagalpa win41%Walter Ferretti win33%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 02:00
Match timeline
All events
MatagalpaMINWalter FerrettiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Matagalpa
Walter Ferretti
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Walter Ferretti | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Matagalpa | 10 | -15 | 9 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Matagalpa a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matagalpa win | 41% | 35% | +7 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | −2 |
| Walter Ferretti win | 33% | 38% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 57% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 31% | −2 |
| Matagalpa or draw | 67% | 62% | +5 |
| Matagalpa clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Walter Ferretti clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
18 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Primera Division
MATAGALPA
WALTER FERRETTI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 11 | 24 | 29 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 11 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 11 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 |  H&H Export | 10 | -6 | 14 |
| 6 | Walter Ferretti | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 |  San Marcos | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Matagalpa | 10 | -15 | 9 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 11 | -12 | 6 |
| 10 |  Jalapa | 11 | -11 | 5 |
The competition's standings.