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Matagalpa v Real Estelí
MatagalpaReal EstelíPrimera Division · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Matagalpa win23%Real Estelí win53%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 02:00
Match timeline
All events
MatagalpaMINReal EstelíEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Matagalpa
Real Estelí
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Estelí | 10 | +10 | 18 |
| 7 | Matagalpa | 9 | −12 | 9 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Real Estelí a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 63%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.7.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 63% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matagalpa win | 23% | 15% | +8 |
| Draw | 25% | 22% | +3 |
| Real Estelí win | 53% | 63% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 56% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 77% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 36% | −8 |
| Matagalpa or draw | 47% | 37% | +11 |
| Matagalpa clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Real Estelí clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
17 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Primera Division
MATAGALPA
REAL ESTELÍ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 10 | +23 | 26 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 10 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 |  UNAN Managua | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | Real Estelí | 10 | +10 | 18 |
| 5 |  San Marcos | 10 | −4 | 11 |
| 6 |  H&H Export | 9 | −8 | 11 |
| 7 | Matagalpa | 9 | −12 | 9 |
| 8 |  Walter Ferretti | 10 | −4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Jalapa | 10 | −10 | 5 |
| 10 |  Rancho Santana | 10 | −12 | 5 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Last updated 2026-10-11 04:30 UTC.