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Managua v San Marcos
ManaguaSan MarcosPrimera Division · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassManagua are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Managua 69%, draw 19%, San Marcos 12%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 15 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
Managua win69%San Marcos win12%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 01:00
Match timeline
All events
ManaguaMINSan MarcosEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Managua
San Marcos
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 11 | 24 | 29 |
| 7 | San Marcos | 11 | -6 | 11 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Managua a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 79%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 79% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Managua win | 69% | 79% | −10 |
| Draw | 19% | 13% | +6 |
| San Marcos win | 12% | 8% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 69% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 48% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 85% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 50% | −16 |
| Managua or draw | 88% | 92% | −4 |
| Managua clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
| San Marcos clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Form · last six in Primera Division
MANAGUA
SAN MARCOS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua | 11 | 24 | 29 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 11 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 11 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 11 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 |  H&H Export | 10 | -6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Walter Ferretti | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | San Marcos | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Matagalpa | 10 | -15 | 9 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 11 | -12 | 6 |
| 10 |  Jalapa | 11 | -11 | 5 |
The competition's standings.