Diriangén v H&H Export prediction · Primera Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

DiriangénDrawH&H Export

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 23:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Diriangén 73%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Diriangén are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Diriangén 73%, draw 16%, H&H Export 11%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Diriangén v H&H ExportBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Diriangén win73%

Draw16%

H&H Export win11%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 23:00

RoundApertura · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Diriangén

H&H Export

6Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · Primera Division (Nicaragua)

Last match: 18 Oct · Primera Division (Nicaragua)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Diriangén	13	+13	30
6	H&H Export	12	−7	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · diriangén winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 19 Oct 05:39 · locked at kick-off

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Diriangén a 73% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Diriangén v H&H Export~~2.47 – 0.82

~~Form · last six in Primera Division this season · since 2 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 30 v 17~~2 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Diriangén win

Published at 72%, 73% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Diriangén win	73%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
H&H Export win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Diriangén or draw	89%	–	–
Diriangén clean sheet	44%	–	–
H&H Export clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.3%

0123450 4.0 3.0 1 9.1 7.7 3.1 2 11.3 9.1 3.8 3 9.3 7.5 3.1 4 5.8 4.6 5 2.9 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Diriangén down, H&H Export across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,050 Primera Division matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.4% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Diriangén at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). H&H Export away: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.47 goals for Diriangén, 0.82 for H&H Export. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HAN 0–1 DIR · HAN 1–1 DIR · DIR 1–2 HAN · HAN 0–2 DIR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera Division this season · since 2 Sept

DIRIANGÉN

WWWLWW3–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 3–1 · 1–0

H&H EXPORT

DLLWWL1–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Managua	13	+28	35
2	Diriangén	13	+13	30
3	UNAN Managua	13	+4	24
4	Real Estelí	13	+11	22
5	Walter Ferretti	13	+4	17
6	H&H Export	12	−7	17
7	San Marcos	13	−8	11
8	Jalapa	13	−8	9
9	Matagalpa	12	−22	9
10	Rancho Santana	13	−15	6