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PEC Zwolle U21 v Cambuur U21

PEC Zwolle U21

0–1Full time

Cambuur U21

U21 Divisie 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 16:32

PEC Zwolle U21 0–1 Cambuur U21 CAMBUUR U21 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Cambuur U21 win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.472

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

PEC Zwolle U21 win35%

Draw20%

Cambuur U21 win45%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:45

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cambuur u21 winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Cambuur U21 a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.0, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
PEC Zwolle U21 win	35%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Cambuur U21 win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
PEC Zwolle U21 or draw	55%	–	–
PEC Zwolle U21 clean sheet	14%	–	–
Cambuur U21 clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.1%

0123450 5.6 4.8 3.2 1 5.0 7.7 8.1 5.3 2.7 2 3.7 7.2 6.9 4.6 2.3 3 2.2 4.2 4.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+PEC Zwolle U21 down, Cambuur U21 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 555 U21 Divisie 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

U21 Divisie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

PEC Zwolle U21 at home: 3.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Cambuur U21 away: 2.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for PEC Zwolle U21, 1.98 for Cambuur U21. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~PEC 5–4 CAM · CAM 3–0 PEC · PEC 0–1 CAM · CAM 3–1 PEC

Form · last six in U21 Divisie 1

PEC ZWOLLE U21

WWLWLW5–2 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 0–4 · 2–0

CAMBUUR U21

LLWDLW2–3 · 3–5 · 5–0 · 3–3 · 0–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Feyenoord U21	4	+11	12
2	De Graafschap U21	5	+2	9
3	PEC Zwolle U21	5	0	9
4	Cambuur U21	4	+7	7
5	Groningen U21	4	+2	7
6	Twente / Heracles U21	5	−8	4
7	Go Ahead Eagles U21	5	−10	2
8	Willem II U21	4	−4	1