De Graafschap U21 v Feyenoord U21 prediction · U21 Divisie 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

De Graafschap U21DrawFeyenoord U21

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Feyenoord U21 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Feyenoord U21 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: De Graafschap U21 33%, draw 21%, Feyenoord U21 46%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on De Graafschap U21 v Feyenoord U21Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

De Graafschap U21 win33%

Draw21%

Feyenoord U21 win46%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 12:00

RoundFall season · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

De Graafschap U21

Feyenoord U21

10Days since last match10

Last match: 17 Oct · U21 Divisie 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · feyenoord u21 winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 21 Oct 03:59 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Feyenoord U21 a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · De Graafschap U21 v Feyenoord U21~~1.54 – 1.87

~~Form · last six in U21 Divisie 1 this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 9 v 18~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Feyenoord U21 win

Published at 44%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
De Graafschap U21 win	33%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Feyenoord U21 win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
De Graafschap U21 or draw	54%	–	–
De Graafschap U21 clean sheet	16%	–	–
Feyenoord U21 clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.7 6.9 5.8 3.6 1 5.8 8.8 8.7 5.4 2.6 2 4.0 7.2 6.7 4.2 3 2.0 3.7 3.4 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+De Graafschap U21 down, Feyenoord U21 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 561 U21 Divisie 1 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U21 Divisie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.90 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

De Graafschap U21 at home: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Feyenoord U21 away: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for De Graafschap U21, 1.87 for Feyenoord U21. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.90

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FEY 4–0 DEG · DEG 3–1 FEY · FEY 1–2 DEG · FEY 4–1 DEG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U21 Divisie 1 this season · since 29 Aug

DE GRAAFSCHAP U21

WWWLLL3–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–4

FEYENOORD U21

WWWWWW3–0 · 4–1 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 4–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Feyenoord U21	6	+18	18
2	Cambuur U21	5	+8	10
3	PEC Zwolle U21	6	−1	9
4	De Graafschap U21	7	−3	9
5	Groningen U21	6	−1	8
6	Twente / Heracles U21	6	−6	7
7	Go Ahead Eagles U21	6	−9	5
8	Willem II U21	6	−6	2