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ROHDA Raalte v RKAV Volendam

ROHDA Raalte

2–8Full time

RKAV Volendam

Tweede Divisie · SAT 10 OCT · Sportpark Tijenraan

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

ROHDA Raalte 2–8 RKAV Volendam RKAV VOLENDAM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said RKAV Volendam win~~44%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.478

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.335

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 40 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said RKAV Volendam win at 44%.
2′Much as we predicted: RKAV Volendam was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 34–22–44
2′KICK-OFF ROHDA Raalte v RKAV Volendam
10′⚽ GOAL · 9' ROHDA Raalte 0–1 RKAV Volendam
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' ROHDA Raalte 0–2 RKAV Volendam
20′⚽ GOAL · 19' ROHDA Raalte 1–2 RKAV Volendam
24′19′ and it is 1–2: E. Willemsen on the scoresheet for ROHDA Raalte. 1–2 · 14–19–67
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' RKAV Volendam win: 44% at kick-off, 67% now
25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' RKAV Volendam
25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' ROHDA Raalte
27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' T. Strijland · ROHDA Raalte
33′⚽ GOAL · 32' ROHDA Raalte 2–2 RKAV Volendam
37′⚽ GOAL · 36' ROHDA Raalte 2–3 RKAV Volendam
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' ROHDA Raalte 2–4 RKAV Volendam
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam
42′⚽ GOAL · 9' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam · D. Steur (assist N. Runderkamp)
42′⚽ GOAL · 13' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam · R. Tol (assist S. Schokker)
42′⚽ GOAL · 19' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam · E. Willemsen
42′🟨 YELLOW · 25' P. Karregat · RKAV Volendam
42′🟨 YELLOW · 25' W. Hansler · ROHDA Raalte
42′🟨 YELLOW · 26' T. Strijland · ROHDA Raalte
42′⚽ GOAL · 32' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam · E. Willemsen (assist M. Bulut)
42′⚽ GOAL · 36' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam · L. Veerman
42′⚽ GOAL · 39' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam · R. Tol
42′⚽ GOAL · 41' ROHDA Raalte 2–5 RKAV Volendam · N. Runderkamp
45′A goal for RKAV Volendam on 45′ — 2–5. 2–5 · 0–2–98
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' RKAV Volendam win: 44% at kick-off, 98% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' ROHDA Raalte 2–6 RKAV Volendam
45′HALF-TIME ROHDA Raalte 2–6 RKAV Volendam
47′SECOND HALF ROHDA Raalte 2–6 RKAV Volendam
51′We published RKAV Volendam at 44%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–6 · 0–0–100
58′⚽ GOAL · 57' ROHDA Raalte 2–7 RKAV Volendam · L. Veerman (assist N. Runderkamp)
67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' RKAV Volendam · On: D. Sier · Off: P. Plugboer
67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' RKAV Volendam · On: D. Zwarthoed · Off: G. Vlak
67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ROHDA Raalte · On: Q. Jony · Off: M. Iylia
67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ROHDA Raalte · On: M. van de Werken · Off: T. Strijland
67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ROHDA Raalte · On: I. van den Berg · Off: M. Bulut
71′🟨 YELLOW · 68' RKAV Volendam
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' RKAV Volendam · On: D. van Baarsen · Off: P. Kroon
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' RKAV Volendam · On: W. Ait Abdellah · Off: N. Runderkamp
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' RKAV Volendam · On: R. Tol · Off: P. Karregat
75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' ROHDA Raalte · On: D. Paais · Off: W. Hansler
80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' ROHDA Raalte · On: R. Vreeswijk · Off: K. Roeloffzen
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' ROHDA Raalte 2–8 RKAV Volendam
FTFULL TIME ROHDA Raalte 2–8 RKAV Volendam
FTROHDA Raalte 2–8 RKAV Volendam · RKAV Volendam win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

ROHDA Raalte win34%

Draw22%

RKAV Volendam win44%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Sportpark Tijenraan

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

ROHDA Raalte

Formation not confirmed

1 A. van Zaltbommel

26 M. Bulut

4 J. Vossebeld

25 G. Blanke

23 T. Strijland

6 S. Pazie

27 S. Brand

24 M. Iylia

22 W. Hansler

12 K. Roeloffzen

17 E. Willemsen

Coach · Jos van der Veen

Substitutes

16 · A. Wesseh

5 · D. Paais

31 · Q. Jony

2 · I. van den Berg

32 · D. Rickhoff

11 · R. Vreeswijk

7 · M. van de Werken

RKAV Volendam

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Witte

4 L. Veerman

13 P. Karregat

3 S. Schokker

5 G. Vlak

10 N. Runderkamp

14 D. Steur

6 P. Kroon

7 R. Tol

9 A. Sout

26 P. Plugboer

Coach · –

Substitutes

17 · M. Schilder

30 · W. Ait Abdellah

2 · R. Tol

25 · D. Sier

20 · D. Zwarthoed

8 · D. van Baarsen

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

ROHDA Raalte

Formation not confirmed

1 A. van Zaltbommel

26 M. Bulut

4 J. Vossebeld

25 G. Blanke

23 T. Strijland

6 S. Pazie

27 S. Brand

24 M. Iylia

22 W. Hansler

12 K. Roeloffzen

17 E. Willemsen

Coach · Jos van der Veen

Substitutes

16 · A. Wesseh

5 · D. Paais

31 · Q. Jony

2 · I. van den Berg

32 · D. Rickhoff

11 · R. Vreeswijk

7 · M. van de Werken

RKAV Volendam

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Witte

4 L. Veerman

13 P. Karregat

3 S. Schokker

5 G. Vlak

10 N. Runderkamp

14 D. Steur

6 P. Kroon

7 R. Tol

9 A. Sout

26 P. Plugboer

Coach · –

Substitutes

17 · M. Schilder

30 · W. Ait Abdellah

2 · R. Tol

25 · D. Sier

20 · D. Zwarthoed

8 · D. van Baarsen

Our number · rkav volendam winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

44% The market53%

Us44%

~~Market~~53%

We make RKAV Volendam a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · rkav volendam win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ROHDA Raalte win	34%	25%	+10
Draw	22%	23%	−1
RKAV Volendam win	44%	53%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	68%	64%	+4
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	43%	+3
ROHDA Raalte or draw	56%	47%	+9
ROHDA Raalte clean sheet	16%	–	–
RKAV Volendam clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.1 5.8 5.3 3.3 1 5.1 9.1 8.4 5.3 2.5 2 4.1 7.4 6.8 4.2 2.0 3 2.2 4.0 3.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ROHDA Raalte down, RKAV Volendam across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,685 Tweede Divisie matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tweede Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.6% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

ROHDA Raalte at home: 0.50 scored, 2.25 conceded a game (last 4). RKAV Volendam away: 1.00 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for ROHDA Raalte, 1.87 for RKAV Volendam. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tweede Divisie

ROHDA RAALTE

LLLLDL0–2 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 1–3

RKAV VOLENDAM

DWDDLL1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Quick Boys	8	+16	21
2	Kozakken Boys	8	+11	17
3	De Treffers	8	+11	15
4	Barendrecht	8	+3	14
5	HHC	8	+3	14
6	Ijsselmeervogels	7	+5	13
7	Spakenburg	8	−1	13
8	Sparta Rotterdam II	8	+8	12
9	Katwijk	8	−2	11
10	AFC Amsterdam	8	−2	10
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	8	−7	10
12	Hoek	8	−2	9
13	GVVV Veenendaal	7	−3	9
14	RKAV Volendam	8	−7	9
15	Almere City II	8	−2	7
16	Koninklijke HFC	8	−5	6
17	Kloetinge	8	−10	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	8	−16	1