ROHDA Raalte v HHC prediction · Tweede Divisie

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

ROHDA Raalte 0–1 HHC HHC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said HHC win~~59%

~~The market said~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.257

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.139

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said HHC win at 59%.
1′Little has changed for our model: HHC 59% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 21–20–58
1′KICK-OFF ROHDA Raalte v HHC
22′SUBSTITUTION · 18' ROHDA Raalte · On: S. Brand · Off: S. Pazie
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' HHC win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
43′We said HHC at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 21–32–47
45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' ROHDA Raalte
45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' HHC
45′HALF-TIME ROHDA Raalte 0–0 HHC
46′SECOND HALF ROHDA Raalte 0–0 HHC
50′We said HHC at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 20–36–44
51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' HHC
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 19–39–42
59′We said HHC at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 19–42–39
59′SUBSTITUTION · 56' HHC · On: G. Zwikstra · Off: M. Pouwels
59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' HHC win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was HHC win 41%)
64′HHC score on 63′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 3–15–82
64′We said HHC at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 0–1 · 3–15–82
64′⚽ GOAL · 63' ROHDA Raalte 0–1 HHC
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' HHC win: 59% at kick-off, 82% now
64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' HHC win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 46%)
71′We said HHC at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
71′SUBSTITUTION · 67' ROHDA Raalte · On: K. Roeloffzen · Off: D. Rickhoff
71′SUBSTITUTION · 67' ROHDA Raalte · On: M. van Bussel · Off: J. Vossebeld
72′SUBSTITUTION · 68' HHC · On: M. Steenvoorden · Off: J. Vermaning
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' HHC win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' HHC · On: B. Scholte · Off: N. ten Brinke
80′We said HHC at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' ROHDA Raalte · On: T. Maatman · Off: M. van de Werken
86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' ROHDA Raalte · On: D. Paais · Off: T. Strijland
87′We said HHC at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' HHC win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
FTFULL TIME ROHDA Raalte 0–1 HHC
FTROHDA Raalte 0–1 HHC · HHC win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

HHC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ROHDA Raalte 21%, draw 20%, HHC 59%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on ROHDA Raalte v HHCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

ROHDA Raalte win21%

Draw20%

HHC win59%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueSportpark Tijenraan

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ROHDA Raalte

HHC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Tweede Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	HHC	10	+4	18
18	ROHDA Raalte	10	−23	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hhc winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

59% The market70%

Us59%

~~Market~~70%

We make HHC a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ROHDA Raalte v HHC~~1.21 – 2.15

~~Form · last six in Tweede Divisie this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 18~~18 v 5

~~The market · HHC win~~70% · ours 59%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · HHC win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ROHDA Raalte win	21%	13%	+8
Draw	20%	18%	+2
HHC win	59%	70%	−11
Over 2.5 goals	65%	66%	−1
Both teams to score	61%	56%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	84%	84%	0
Over 3.5 goals	43%	46%	−3
ROHDA Raalte or draw	41%	30%	+11
ROHDA Raalte clean sheet	12%	–	–
HHC clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.5%

0123450 3.6 7.6 8.0 5.7 3.1 1 4.3 8.9 9.5 6.8 3.7 2 2.6 5.4 5.7 4.1 2.2 3 2.2 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ROHDA Raalte down, HHC across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,704 Tweede Divisie matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Tweede Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.3% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023.

Home and away form

ROHDA Raalte at home: 0.80 scored, 3.40 conceded a game (last 5). HHC away: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for ROHDA Raalte, 2.15 for HHC. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tweede Divisie this season · since 12 Sept

ROHDA RAALTE

LLDLLL1–3 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 1–3 · 2–8 · 0–1

HHC

DLLWDW2–2 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Quick Boys	10	+22	25
2	De Treffers	10	+16	21
3	Kozakken Boys	10	+13	21
4	Ijsselmeervogels	10	+5	19
5	HHC	10	+4	18
6	Barendrecht	10	+2	17
7	GVVV Veenendaal	10	+2	15
8	RKAV Volendam	10	0	15
9	Spakenburg	10	−3	14
10	AFC Amsterdam	10	−3	13
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	10	−9	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam II	10	+4	12
13	Katwijk	10	−9	11
14	Almere City II	10	0	10
15	Hoek	10	−4	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	10	−6	9
17	Kloetinge	10	−11	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	10	−23	1