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Rijnsburgse Boys v ROHDA Raalte

Rijnsburgse Boys
1–0Full time
ROHDA Raalte

Tweede Divisie · SAT 17 OCT · Sportpark Middelmors

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26
Rijnsburgse Boys 1–0 ROHDA Raalte RIJNSBURGSE BOYS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Rijnsburgse Boys win76%
The market said75%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.083
The market’s Brier score0.092

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rijnsburgse Boys win at 76%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Rijnsburgse Boys 76% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–13–11
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Rijnsburgse Boys v ROHDA Raalte
  4. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Rijnsburgse Boys
  5. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Rijnsburgse Boys win: 76% at kick-off, 66% now
  6. 41′We said Rijnsburgse Boys at 76%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–22–14
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Rijnsburgse Boys 0–0 ROHDA Raalte
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Rijnsburgse Boys 0–0 ROHDA Raalte
  9. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Rijnsburgse Boys · On: S. Bastmeijer · Off: B. Ros
  10. 51′We said Rijnsburgse Boys at 76%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–27–14
  11. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Rijnsburgse Boys
  12. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 4.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 57–29–14
  13. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Rijnsburgse Boys win: 76% at kick-off, 56% now
  14. 58′We said Rijnsburgse Boys at 76%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–31–14
  15. 64′We said Rijnsburgse Boys at 76%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–37–14
  16. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ROHDA Raalte · On: D. Paais · Off: E. Willemsen
  17. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' ROHDA Raalte · On: S. Brand · Off: M. van de Werken
  18. 67′A goal for Rijnsburgse Boys on 66′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 87–11–2
  19. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Rijnsburgse Boys 1–0 ROHDA Raalte
  20. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Rijnsburgse Boys win: 76% at kick-off, 87% now
  21. 72′We said Rijnsburgse Boys at 76% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–0 · 88–11–1
  22. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' ROHDA Raalte · On: D. Rickhoff · Off: K. Roeloffzen
  23. 78′J. Buitenweg scores for Rijnsburgse Boys on 66′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  24. 79′We said Rijnsburgse Boys at 76% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  25. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' ROHDA Raalte
  26. 87′We said Rijnsburgse Boys at 76% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  27. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Rijnsburgse Boys win: 76% at kick-off, 96% now
  28. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Rijnsburgse Boys · On: C. Tureaij · Off: J. Simoes
  29. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' ROHDA Raalte · On: I. van den Berg · Off: T. Strijland
  30. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' ROHDA Raalte · On: J. Hansler · Off: M. Bulut
  31. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Rijnsburgse Boys · On: B. de Bruin · Off: K. Lever
  32. FTFULL TIME Rijnsburgse Boys 1–0 ROHDA Raalte
  33. FTRijnsburgse Boys 1–0 ROHDA Raalte · Rijnsburgse Boys win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rijnsburgse Boys are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rijnsburgse Boys 76%, draw 13%, ROHDA Raalte 11%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Rijnsburgse Boys v ROHDA RaalteBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rijnsburgse Boys win76%
Draw13%
ROHDA Raalte win11%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 10

VenueSportpark Middelmors

Line-ups

Rijnsburgse Boys

ROHDA Raalte

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rijnsburgse Boys

ROHDA Raalte

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Tweede Divisie

Last match: 10 Oct · Tweede Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
14Rijnsburgse Boys9−1010
18ROHDA Raalte9−221

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Rijnsburgse Boys

Formation not confirmed

16 T. Van der Kleij

6 B. Ros

5 R. Zandbergen

33 C. Van Bohemen

34 Y. Tufi

8 N. Klaver

30 S. van Rooijen

7 I. Kariouh

10 K. Lever

77 J. Simoes

19 J. Buitenweg

Coach · –

Substitutes

9 · S. Bastmeijer

14 · E. Broug

18 · B. de Bruin

22 · J. van Nobelen

28 · C. Tureaij

32 · N. de Haas

29 · T. Maarschalkerweerd

ROHDA Raalte

Formation not confirmed

1 A. van Zaltbommel

24 M. Iylia

6 S. Pazie

4 J. Vossebeld

23 T. Strijland

12 K. Roeloffzen

7 M. van de Werken

8 M. Blanke

26 M. Bulut

11 E. Willemsen

22 W. Hansler

Coach · Jos van der Veen

Substitutes

16 · A. Wesseh

2 · I. van den Berg

15 · S. Brand

17 · D. Paais

18 · T. Maatman

19 · J. Hansler

25 · D. Rickhoff

Our number · rijnsburgse boys winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 17 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
76% The market75%
Us76%
Market75%

We make Rijnsburgse Boys a 76% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 3.3–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Rijnsburgse Boys v ROHDA Raalte3.33 – 1.26
Form · last six in Tweede Divisie this season · since 5 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W0 D1 L5
Table places · points 10 v 114 v 18
The market · Rijnsburgse Boys win75% · ours 76%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 11 OCT 04:0417 OCT 12:54
Our probability · Rijnsburgse Boys win The market, margin stripped

Published at 77%, 76% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Rijnsburgse Boys win76%75%+1
Draw13%14%−1
ROHDA Raalte win11%11%0
Over 2.5 goals83%76%+7
Both teams to score68%62%+6
Over 1.5 goals94%90%+4
Over 3.5 goals67%58%+9
Rijnsburgse Boys or draw89%89%0
Rijnsburgse Boys clean sheet29%––
ROHDA Raalte clean sheet4%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.6%
0123450 1 3.6 4.3 2.7 2 5.7 7.0 4.4 3 6.2 7.6 4.8 2.0 4 5.1 6.3 4.0 5 3.4 4.2 2.7
under 2% 5% 12%+Rijnsburgse Boys down, ROHDA Raalte across0–5 goals a side shown (87.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Tweede Divisie this season · since 5 Sept

RIJNSBURGSE BOYS

WLWLWL3–0 · 1–6 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 4–1 · 1–4

ROHDA RAALTE

LLLDLL1–2 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 1–3 · 2–8

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Quick Boys9+2224
2Kozakken Boys9+1320
3De Treffers9+1518
4Ijsselmeervogels9+416
5GVVV Veenendaal9+315
6HHC9+315
7Barendrecht9−114
8AFC Amsterdam9013
9Spakenburg9−313
10Sparta Rotterdam II9+512
11RKAV Volendam9−112
12Katwijk9−811
13Almere City II9+110
14Rijnsburgse Boys9−1010
15Hoek9−49
16Kloetinge9−107
17Koninklijke HFC9−76
18ROHDA Raalte9−221

The competition's standings before kick-off.