Katwijk v Ijsselmeervogels

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Katwijk win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Katwijk was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–23–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Katwijk v Ijsselmeervogels
4. 7′Ijsselmeervogels find the net on 7′. 0–1. 0–1 · 25–22–53
5. 7′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–22–53
6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Katwijk 0–1 Ijsselmeervogels
7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Katwijk win: 48% at kick-off, 25% now
8. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Ijsselmeervogels win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Katwijk win 25%)
9. 10′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–22–53
10. 28′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 19–24–57
12. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Katwijk win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
13. 38′SUBSTITUTION · 35' Ijsselmeervogels · On: B. Spijkerman · Off: G. Robertha
14. 44′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
15. 45′HALF-TIME Katwijk 0–1 Ijsselmeervogels
16. 46′SECOND HALF Katwijk 0–1 Ijsselmeervogels
17. 48′Ijsselmeervogels ahead on 7′ through G. Robertha. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–25–62
18. 48′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–25–62
19. 51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Katwijk · On: G. Tiebosch · Off: O. van der Meer
20. 58′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
21. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Katwijk win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
22. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Katwijk · On: D. Maatsen · Off: D. van Wageningen
23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Ijsselmeervogels · On: J. van den Dikkenberg · Off: J. Ruizendaal
24. 71′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
25. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Katwijk · On: K. van der Veldt · Off: C. Toure
26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Katwijk · On: V. van den Bogert · Off: J. Bakker
27. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Ijsselmeervogels
28. 77′A goal for Katwijk on 77′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 19–67–14
29. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Ijsselmeervogels
30. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Katwijk 1–1 Ijsselmeervogels
31. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Katwijk win: 48% at kick-off, 19% now
32. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Ijsselmeervogels win 14%)
33. 78′We said Katwijk at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–69–13
34. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Katwijk
35. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Katwijk
36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Ijsselmeervogels · On: A. Moumouh · Off: R. Schulte
37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Ijsselmeervogels · On: A. Belgadi · Off: M. Hardijk
38. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Katwijk win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
39. 99′🟨 YELLOW · 90+9' Katwijk
40. 100′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' K. van der Veldt · Katwijk
41. 103′Ijsselmeervogels score on 90′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
42. 103′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–2 · 0–2–98
43. 103′⚽ GOAL · 90+13' Katwijk 1–2 Ijsselmeervogels
44. 103′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+13' Ijsselmeervogels win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
45. FTFULL TIME Katwijk 1–2 Ijsselmeervogels
46. FTKatwijk 1–2 Ijsselmeervogels · Katwijk win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.