Ijsselmeervogels v GVVV Veenendaal prediction · Tweede Divisie

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 21:37

Ijsselmeervogels 0–3 GVVV Veenendaal IJSSELMEERVOGELS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ijsselmeervogels win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.765

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 6 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ijsselmeervogels win at 48%.
56′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Ijsselmeervogels · On: R. Schulte · Off: B. Campman
57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' GVVV Veenendaal · On: T. Dilrosun · Off: G. Slijkhuis
75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' GVVV Veenendaal
80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Ijsselmeervogels 0–3 GVVV Veenendaal
82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Ijsselmeervogels · On: J. Janssen · Off: R. Schulte
FTFULL TIME Ijsselmeervogels 0–3 GVVV Veenendaal
FTIjsselmeervogels 0–3 GVVV Veenendaal · Ijsselmeervogels win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 01:00 · locked at kick-off

Ijsselmeervogels win48%

Draw22%

GVVV Veenendaal win30%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:00

VenueSportpark De Westmaat

Line-ups

Ijsselmeervogels

GVVV Veenendaal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ijsselmeervogels

GVVV Veenendaal

3Days since last match3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Ijsselmeervogels	8	+7	16
10	GVVV Veenendaal	8	0	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Ijsselmeervogels

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Kaarsgaren

2 G. van de Groep

22 J. Schuurman

27 J. Mattheij

15 Q. Dumay

7 M. Hardijk

8 B. Campman

6 J. van Eerden

24 G. Robertha

17 J. van den Dikkenberg

9 J. Beers

Coach · Willem Leushuis

Substitutes

26 · D. Beukers

4 · T. Carbaat

29 · R. Reemnet

14 · J. Ruizendaal

10 · R. Schulte

11 · A. Roep

25 · J. Osnabrugge

GVVV Veenendaal

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Heus

21 J. Spies

20 J. Potjes

4 K. Hillen

3 M. Willems

6 A. van Soest

34 A. Yadir

29 G. Slijkhuis

7 S. Martina

10 Q. Veenhof

25 M. de Jong

Coach · Gery Vink

Substitutes

31 · M. Yaroshevych

2 · T. Dilrosun

5 · D. Hillen

26 · A. Menelik

23 · M. El Haddouti

11 · N. Huls

17 · Y. Roseboom

Our number · ijsselmeervogels winFirst published 12 Oct 16:02 · updated 13 Oct 01:00 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Ijsselmeervogels a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ijsselmeervogels win	48%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
GVVV Veenendaal win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Ijsselmeervogels or draw	70%	–	–
Ijsselmeervogels clean sheet	23%	–	–
GVVV Veenendaal clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.3 5.1 3.7 1 6.5 9.2 6.9 3.4 2 6.1 8.9 6.6 3.3 3 3.9 5.7 4.2 2.1 4 2.8 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ijsselmeervogels down, GVVV Veenendaal across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,694 Tweede Divisie matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Tweede Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.8% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.25 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ijsselmeervogels at home: 1.50 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). GVVV Veenendaal away: 1.83 scored, 3.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for Ijsselmeervogels, 1.49 for GVVV Veenendaal. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GVV 3–1 IJS · IJS 0–3 GVV · IJS 3–0 GVV · GVV 2–1 IJS

Form · last six in Tweede Divisie

IJSSELMEERVOGELS

DWWWLW1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–0

GVVV VEENENDAAL

LLWWWW2–3 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Quick Boys	9	+22	24
2	Kozakken Boys	9	+13	20
3	De Treffers	9	+15	18
4	Ijsselmeervogels	8	+7	16
5	HHC	9	+3	15
6	Barendrecht	9	−1	14
7	AFC Amsterdam	9	0	13
8	Spakenburg	9	−3	13
9	Sparta Rotterdam II	9	+5	12
10	GVVV Veenendaal	8	0	12
11	RKAV Volendam	9	−1	12
12	Katwijk	9	−8	11
13	Almere City II	9	+1	10
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	9	−10	10
15	Hoek	9	−4	9
16	Kloetinge	9	−10	7
17	Koninklijke HFC	9	−7	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	9	−22	1