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Hoek v Kozakken Boys
Hoek
Kozakken BoysTweede Divisie · SAT 17 OCT · Sportpark Denoek
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hoek win at 46%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Hoek was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
- 1′KICK-OFF Hoek v Kozakken Boys
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Kozakken Boys
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Kozakken Boys
- 40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Kozakken Boys
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Hoek
- 45′HALF-TIME Hoek 0–0 Kozakken Boys
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Hoek win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Hoek 0–0 Kozakken Boys
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Hoek win 35%)
- 52′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–41–25
- 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 33–43–24
- 62′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–49–22
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kozakken Boys · On: M. Maletic · Off: D. Versluis
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kozakken Boys · On: M. Hassan · Off: M. van den Berg
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Hoek · On: A. Jalloh · Off: C. Van Daele
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Hoek · On: M. Bostdorp · Off: K. Hebbelinck
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Hoek · On: D. Demuynck · Off: T. Boere
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Hoek win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kozakken Boys · On: S. Jalloh · Off: S. Hop
- 70′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–18
- 76′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
- 78′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 17–70–13
- 78′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 17–70–13
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Hoek · On: M. Steenpoorte · Off: N. Aelterman
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Kozakken Boys · On: S. Martina · Off: G. Damen
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Hoek win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 81′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–76–10
- 85′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Hoek win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Hoek at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
- 91′A red card for Kozakken Boys on 72′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 4–92–3
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 72' D. den Besten · Kozakken Boys
- 91′🟥 RED CARD · 72' D. den Besten · Kozakken Boys
- FTFULL TIME Hoek 0–0 Kozakken Boys
- FTHoek 0–0 Kozakken Boys · Hoek win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassHoek are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hoek 46%, draw 24%, Kozakken Boys 30%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Hoek win46%
Kozakken Boys win30%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 10
VenueSportpark Denoek
Match timeline
All events
HoekMIN
Kozakken BoysEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Hoek
Kozakken Boys
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hoek
Kozakken Boys
Last match: 10 Oct · Tweede Divisie
Last match: 10 Oct · Tweede Divisie
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Hoek
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Standaert
2 R. de Poorter
24 G. Siereveld
4 L. Ketels
5 Y. de Nooijer
14 R. Van Hauter
18 H. Bouihrouchane
6 C. Van Daele
10 N. Aelterman
7 K. Hebbelinck
23 T. Boere
Coach · Gerard de Nooijer
Substitutes
11 · M. Bostdorp
22 · D. Demuynck
19 · A. Jalloh
3 · J. Pengel
16 · M. Steenpoorte
30 · S. Van Damme
Kozakken Boys
Formation not confirmed
1 R. ten Hove
20 D. den Besten
6 T. Sas
23 J. Giebels
17 D. Pedro
24 G. Damen
3 S. Hop
12 G. Stout
21 Z. Deurloo
9 D. Versluis
15 M. van den Berg
Coach · –
Substitutes
11 · S. Jalloh
16 · J. Koorevaar
19 · J. Lommers
14 · M. Maletic
4 · S. Martina
7 · M. Hassan
18 · Y. Taytay
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Hoek
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Standaert
2 R. de Poorter
24 G. Siereveld
4 L. Ketels
5 Y. de Nooijer
14 R. Van Hauter
18 H. Bouihrouchane
6 C. Van Daele
10 N. Aelterman
7 K. Hebbelinck
23 T. Boere
Coach · Gerard de Nooijer
Substitutes
11 · M. Bostdorp
22 · D. Demuynck
19 · A. Jalloh
3 · J. Pengel
16 · M. Steenpoorte
30 · S. Van Damme
Kozakken Boys
Formation not confirmed
1 R. ten Hove
20 D. den Besten
6 T. Sas
23 J. Giebels
17 D. Pedro
24 G. Damen
3 S. Hop
12 G. Stout
21 Z. Deurloo
9 D. Versluis
15 M. van den Berg
Coach · –
Substitutes
11 · S. Jalloh
16 · J. Koorevaar
19 · J. Lommers
14 · M. Maletic
4 · S. Martina
7 · M. Hassan
18 · Y. Taytay
We make Hoek a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoek win | 46% | 35% | +11 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Kozakken Boys win | 30% | 40% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 61% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 64% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 82% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 41% | −7 |
| Hoek or draw | 70% | 60% | +10 |
| Hoek clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Kozakken Boys clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tweede Divisie this season · since 5 Sept
HOEK
KOZAKKEN BOYS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 9 | +22 | 24 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 9 | +13 | 20 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 9 | +15 | 18 |
| 4 | Ijsselmeervogels | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | GVVV Veenendaal | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | HHC | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 | Barendrecht | 9 | −1 | 14 |
| 8 | AFC Amsterdam | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 9 | −3 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 11 | RKAV Volendam | 9 | −1 | 12 |
| 12 | Katwijk | 9 | −8 | 11 |
| 13 | Almere City II | 9 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 9 | −10 | 10 |
| 15 | Hoek | 9 | −4 | 9 |
| 16 | Kloetinge | 9 | −10 | 7 |
| 17 | Koninklijke HFC | 9 | −7 | 6 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 9 | −22 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Quick Boys
De Treffers
Ijsselmeervogels
GVVV Veenendaal
HHC
Barendrecht
AFC Amsterdam
Spakenburg
Sparta Rotterdam II
RKAV Volendam
Katwijk
Almere City II
Rijnsburgse Boys
Kloetinge
Koninklijke HFC
ROHDA Raalte