Barendrecht v AFC Amsterdam

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said AFC Amsterdam win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: AFC Amsterdam 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 37–22–41
3. 1′KICK-OFF Barendrecht v AFC Amsterdam
4. 8′A goal for Barendrecht on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 59–20–21
5. 8′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 59–20–21
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Barendrecht 1–0 AFC Amsterdam
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' AFC Amsterdam win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Barendrecht win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was AFC Amsterdam win 21%)
9. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Barendrecht
10. 16′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 60–20–19
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 62–22–16
12. 33′Barendrecht score on 33′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 84–11–5
13. 33′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–0 · 84–11–5
14. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Barendrecht 2–0 AFC Amsterdam
15. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' AFC Amsterdam win: 41% at kick-off, 5% now
16. 38′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 86–10–4
17. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Barendrecht
18. 42′AFC Amsterdam find the net on 42′. 2–1. 2–1 · 64–22–13
19. 42′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–1 · 64–22–13
20. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Barendrecht 2–1 AFC Amsterdam
21. 45′HALF-TIME Barendrecht 2–1 AFC Amsterdam
22. 46′SECOND HALF Barendrecht 2–1 AFC Amsterdam
23. 49′AFC Amsterdam pull one back on 42′ through A. Bensabouh. 2–1. 2–1 · 66–23–11
24. 49′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 2–1 · 66–23–11
25. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Barendrecht · On: T. Bayram · Off: E. Fortes
26. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' AFC Amsterdam
27. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' AFC Amsterdam
28. 55′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 68–22–9
29. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' AFC Amsterdam
30. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Barendrecht
31. 67′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 2–1 · 74–21–6
32. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' AFC Amsterdam · On: T. Hovenkamp · Off: F. van der Linden
33. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' AFC Amsterdam · On: G. de Jager · Off: S. de Mooij
34. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' AFC Amsterdam · On: J. Nsingi · Off: M. Elstak
35. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Barendrecht · On: M. Bakour · Off: O. Mrowicki
36. 69′A goal for Barendrecht on 68′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 95–4–1
37. 69′We said AFC Amsterdam at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
38. 69′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 95–4–1
39. 69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Barendrecht 3–1 AFC Amsterdam
40. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' AFC Amsterdam win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
41. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' AFC Amsterdam · On: S. Ederveen · Off: I. Lee
42. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Barendrecht · On: N. Jouhri · Off: D. Monster
43. 76′Barendrecht score on 76′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
44. 76′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
45. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Barendrecht 4–1 AFC Amsterdam
46. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Barendrecht
47. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' AFC Amsterdam · On: G. Markiet · Off: A. Bensabouh
48. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 56' F. Hooreman · Barendrecht
49. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Barendrecht · On: J. Kieboom · Off: A. Serghini
50. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Barendrecht · On: M. El Mahdioui · Off: F. Hooreman
51. FTFULL TIME Barendrecht 4–1 AFC Amsterdam
52. FTBarendrecht 4–1 AFC Amsterdam · AFC Amsterdam win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.