Almere City II v De Treffers

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said De Treffers win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: De Treffers 43% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 37–21–42
3. 1′KICK-OFF Almere City II v De Treffers
4. 15′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 0–1 · 17–18–64
5. 16′De Treffers score on 15′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–19–64
6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Almere City II 0–1 De Treffers
7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' De Treffers win: 43% at kick-off, 64% now
8. 21′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–1 · 17–19–65
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.9 we expected. 0–1 · 15–20–65
10. 36′SUBSTITUTION · 31' De Treffers · On: J. Kesting · Off: P. Stoskovic
11. 45′15′: T. Waterink on the scoresheet for De Treffers, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–21–68
12. 45′HALF-TIME Almere City II 0–1 De Treffers
13. 46′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 11–21–68
14. 46′SECOND HALF Almere City II 0–1 De Treffers
15. 54′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
16. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' De Treffers win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
17. 67′De Treffers find the net on 67′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–95
18. 67′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
19. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Almere City II 0–2 De Treffers
20. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' De Treffers win: 43% at kick-off, 95% now
21. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Almere City II · On: L. Opdam · Off: M. Haven
22. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Almere City II
23. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Almere City II · On: S. Hagedoorn · Off: L. Lenssen
24. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Almere City II · On: Y. Boerhout · Off: J. de Ruijter
25. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Almere City II 1–2 De Treffers
26. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' De Treffers win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
27. 79′A goal for Almere City II on 78′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–15–84
28. 79′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–2 · 2–15–84
29. 80′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
30. 84′Almere City II score on 84′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 10–79–11
31. 84′We said De Treffers at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 2–2 · 10–79–11
32. 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 10–79–11
33. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Almere City II 2–2 De Treffers
34. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' De Treffers win: 43% at kick-off, 11% now
35. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 79% (was De Treffers win 11%)
36. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' De Treffers · On: J. van der Logt · Off: B. Brussaard
37. 87′We said De Treffers at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
38. 88′De Treffers find the net on 88′. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–7–93
39. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' De Treffers · On: J. Coffie · Off: J. van Hedel
40. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Almere City II 2–3 De Treffers
41. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' De Treffers win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
42. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' De Treffers win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
43. 89′We said De Treffers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–3 · 0–6–94
44. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' De Treffers · On: G. Vlijter · Off: W. den Dekker
45. 90′5 goals already, more than the 3.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–5–94
46. FTFULL TIME Almere City II 2–3 De Treffers
47. FTAlmere City II 2–3 De Treffers · De Treffers win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.