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Model 1.2

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Vvsb v EVV

Vvsb
19:00Upcoming
EVV

KNVB Beker · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VvsbDrawEVV
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Vvsb 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vvsb are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vvsb 65%, draw 19%, EVV 16%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Vvsb v EVVBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Vvsb win65%
Draw19%
EVV win16%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vvsb

EVV

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Derde Divisie

Last match: 24 Oct · Derde Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vvsb winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
65% The market–
Us65%

We make Vvsb a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vvsb v EVV2.32 – 1.07
Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 2 SeptW2 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 04:31
Our probability · Vvsb win

Published at 67%, 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vvsb win65%––
Draw19%––
EVV win16%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Vvsb or draw84%––
Vvsb clean sheet34%––
EVV clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.7%
0123450 3.7 3.3 1 7.6 8.7 4.5 2 9.1 9.7 5.2 3 7.0 7.5 4.0 4 4.1 4.3 2.3 5 2.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Vvsb down, EVV across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 2 Sept

VVSB

WW2–0 · 1–0

EVV

WW3–1 · 3–1