Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › KNVB Beker › Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard

Back
Netherlands flag

Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam
17:45Upcoming
Fortuna Sittard

KNVB Beker · WED 28 OCT · Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:45
Before kick-off · Match result · Sparta Rotterdam 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sparta Rotterdam are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sparta Rotterdam 46%, draw 26%, Fortuna Sittard 28%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna SittardBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sparta Rotterdam win46%
Draw26%
Fortuna Sittard win28%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:45

RoundRound of 64

VenueSparta Stadion Het Kasteel

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sparta Rotterdam

Fortuna Sittard

11Days since last match10

Last match: 17 Oct · Eredivisie

Last match: 18 Oct · Eredivisie

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sparta rotterdam winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Sparta Rotterdam a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sparta Rotterdam v Fortuna Sittard1.66 – 1.26

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sparta Rotterdam win46%––
Draw26%––
Fortuna Sittard win28%––
Over 2.5 goals56%––
Both teams to score58%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Sparta Rotterdam or draw72%––
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet29%––
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%
0123450 6.4 6.0 4.3 1 8.1 12.1 7.0 3.0 2 7.4 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 4.1 5.1 3.2 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sparta Rotterdam down, Fortuna Sittard across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.80
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsFOR 2–2 SPA · SPA 1–1 FOR · FOR 0–3 SPA · SPA 1–1 FOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season

SPARTA ROTTERDAM

No matches in our record yet.

FORTUNA SITTARD

No matches in our record yet.