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Model 1.2

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SC Genemuiden v Dordrecht

SC Genemuiden
19:00Upcoming
Dordrecht

KNVB Beker · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SC GenemuidenDrawDordrecht
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Dordrecht 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dordrecht are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SC Genemuiden 22%, draw 22%, Dordrecht 56%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on SC Genemuiden v DordrechtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

SC Genemuiden win22%
Draw22%
Dordrecht win56%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SC Genemuiden

Dordrecht

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Derde Divisie

Last match: 24 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dordrecht winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Dordrecht a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SC Genemuiden v Dordrecht1.18 – 1.98

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SC Genemuiden win22%––
Draw22%––
Dordrecht win56%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
SC Genemuiden or draw44%––
SC Genemuiden clean sheet14%––
Dordrecht clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%
0123450 4.6 8.1 8.3 5.5 2.7 1 4.7 10.2 9.8 6.5 3.2 2 2.9 5.8 5.8 3.8 3 2.3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SC Genemuiden down, Dordrecht across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 1 Sept

SC GENEMUIDEN

WW2–1 · 3–2

DORDRECHT

No matches in our record yet.