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MVV v Excelsior
MVVExcelsiorKNVB Beker · WED 28 OCT · De Geusselt
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Excelsior are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: MVV 15%, draw 20%, Excelsior 65%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
MVV win15%Excelsior win65%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00
RoundRound of 64
VenueDe Geusselt
Match timeline
All events
MVVMINExcelsiorEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
MVV
Excelsior
Last match: 23 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie
Last match: 16 Oct · Eredivisie
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Excelsior a 65% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.2, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| MVV win | 15% | – | – |
| Draw | 20% | – | – |
| Excelsior win | 65% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | – | – |
| MVV or draw | 35% | – | – |
| MVV clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
| Excelsior clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · KNVB Beker this season
MVV
No matches in our record yet.
EXCELSIOR
No matches in our record yet.