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Model 1.2

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Koninklijke HFC v GO Ahead Eagles

Koninklijke HFC
20:00Upcoming
GO Ahead Eagles

KNVB Beker · TUE 27 OCT · Sportpark Spanjaardslaan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Koninklijke HFCDrawGO Ahead Eagles
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00
Before kick-off · Match result · GO Ahead Eagles 72%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

GO Ahead Eagles are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Koninklijke HFC 10%, draw 18%, GO Ahead Eagles 72%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Koninklijke HFC v GO Ahead EaglesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Koninklijke HFC win10%
Draw18%
GO Ahead Eagles win72%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueSportpark Spanjaardslaan

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Koninklijke HFC

GO Ahead Eagles

3Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Tweede Divisie

Last match: 23 Oct · Eredivisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · go ahead eagles winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
72% The market–
Us72%

We make GO Ahead Eagles a 72% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.2, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Koninklijke HFC v GO Ahead Eagles0.71 – 2.22

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · GO Ahead Eagles win

Published at 71%, 72% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Koninklijke HFC win10%––
Draw18%––
GO Ahead Eagles win72%––
Over 2.5 goals56%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Koninklijke HFC or draw28%––
Koninklijke HFC clean sheet11%––
GO Ahead Eagles clean sheet49%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 13.2%
0123450 5.6 11.6 13.2 9.8 5.4 2.41 3.5 8.7 9.3 6.9 3.8 2 3.0 3.3 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Koninklijke HFC down, GO Ahead Eagles across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsKON 1–1 GOA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 1 Sept

KONINKLIJKE HFC

WD4–0 · 1–1

GO AHEAD EAGLES

No matches in our record yet.