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Hoek v Sparta Nijkerk

Hoek
19:00Upcoming
Sparta Nijkerk

KNVB Beker · THU 29 OCT · Sportpark Denoek

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HoekDrawSparta Nijkerk
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Hoek 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hoek are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hoek 66%, draw 19%, Sparta Nijkerk 15%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Hoek v Sparta NijkerkBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Hoek win66%
Draw19%
Sparta Nijkerk win15%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueSportpark Denoek

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hoek

Sparta Nijkerk

5Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · Tweede Divisie

Last match: 24 Oct · Derde Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hoek winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
66% The market–
Us66%

We make Hoek a 66% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hoek v Sparta Nijkerk2.37 – 1.06

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70% 23 OCT 00:0125 OCT 07:47
Our probability · Hoek win

Published at 67%, 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hoek win66%––
Draw19%––
Sparta Nijkerk win15%––
Over 2.5 goals67%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals45%––
Hoek or draw85%––
Hoek clean sheet35%––
Sparta Nijkerk clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.6%
0123450 3.5 3.1 1 7.4 8.4 4.3 2 9.1 9.6 5.1 3 7.2 7.6 4.1 4 4.3 4.5 2.4 5 2.0 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Hoek down, Sparta Nijkerk across0–5 goals a side shown (96.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsSPA 2–0 HOE · HOE 2–1 SPA · HOE 0–0 SPA · SPA 1–2 HOE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 2 Sept

HOEK

No matches in our record yet.

SPARTA NIJKERK

WW2–0 · 3–1