Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › KNVB Beker › Helmond Sport v Willem II

Back
Netherlands flag

Helmond Sport v Willem II

Helmond Sport
19:00Upcoming
Willem II

KNVB Beker · TUE 27 OCT · MySteel Stadion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Helmond SportDrawWillem II
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Willem II 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Willem II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Helmond Sport 24%, draw 24%, Willem II 51%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Helmond Sport v Willem IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Helmond Sport win24%
Draw24%
Willem II win51%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueMySteel Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Helmond Sport

Willem II

4Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie

Last match: 24 Oct · Eredivisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · willem ii winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
51% The market–
Us51%

We make Willem II a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.6, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Helmond Sport v Willem II1.01 – 1.60

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Helmond Sport win24%––
Draw24%––
Willem II win51%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Helmond Sport or draw49%––
Helmond Sport clean sheet21%––
Willem II clean sheet37%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.1%
0123450 7.2 12.1 9.4 5.1 2.1 1 7.8 11.4 9.3 5.0 2.0 2 3.8 5.9 4.7 2.5 3 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Helmond Sport down, Willem II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.67
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsHEL 2–2 WIL · WIL 1–0 HEL · HEL 0–2 WIL · WIL 4–1 HEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season

HELMOND SPORT

No matches in our record yet.

WILLEM II

No matches in our record yet.