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Model 1.2

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GVVV Veenendaal v Noordwijk

GVVV Veenendaal
19:00Upcoming
Noordwijk

KNVB Beker · THU 29 OCT · Sportpark Panhuis

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GVVV VeenendaalDrawNoordwijk
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · GVVV Veenendaal 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

GVVV Veenendaal are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: GVVV Veenendaal 57%, draw 21%, Noordwijk 22%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on GVVV Veenendaal v NoordwijkBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

GVVV Veenendaal win57%
Draw21%
Noordwijk win22%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueSportpark Panhuis

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

GVVV Veenendaal

Noordwijk

5Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · Tweede Divisie

Last match: 24 Oct · Derde Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gvvv veenendaal winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
57% The market–
Us57%

We make GVVV Veenendaal a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · GVVV Veenendaal v Noordwijk2.15 – 1.28
Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 2 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 23 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · GVVV Veenendaal win

Published at 56%, 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
GVVV Veenendaal win57%––
Draw21%––
Noordwijk win22%––
Over 2.5 goals67%––
Both teams to score64%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals45%––
GVVV Veenendaal or draw78%––
GVVV Veenendaal clean sheet28%––
Noordwijk clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.6%
0123450 3.6 3.9 2.7 1 6.7 9.2 5.7 2.4 2 7.5 9.6 6.1 2.6 3 5.4 6.9 4.4 4 2.9 3.7 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+GVVV Veenendaal down, Noordwijk across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.17
Over 2.53 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsGVV 1–3 NOO · NOO 0–1 GVV · GVV 2–1 NOO · NOO 0–0 GVV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 2 Sept

GVVV VEENENDAAL

W4–0

NOORDWIJK

WW1–0 · 1–0