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Model 1.2

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Groningen v Emmen

Groningen
20:00Upcoming
Emmen

KNVB Beker · THU 29 OCT · Euroborg

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GroningenDrawEmmen
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Groningen 77%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Groningen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Groningen 77%, draw 15%, Emmen 9%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Groningen v EmmenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Groningen win77%
Draw15%
Emmen win9%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueEuroborg

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Groningen

Emmen

11Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Eredivisie

Last match: 23 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · groningen winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
77% The market–
Us77%

We make Groningen a 77% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Groningen v Emmen2.69 – 0.82

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80% 23 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Groningen win

Published at 78%, 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Groningen win77%––
Draw15%––
Emmen win9%––
Over 2.5 goals68%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals47%––
Groningen or draw91%––
Groningen clean sheet44%––
Emmen clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.8%
0123450 3.2 2.2 1 7.8 6.8 2.7 2 10.8 8.9 3.7 3 9.7 8.0 3.3 4 6.5 5.4 2.2 5 3.5 2.9
under 2% 5% 12%+Groningen down, Emmen across0–5 goals a side shown (94.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.25
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsEMM 0–3 GRO · GRO 0–0 EMM · GRO 1–1 EMM · EMM 0–0 GRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season

GRONINGEN

No matches in our record yet.

EMMEN

No matches in our record yet.