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Excelsior Maassluis v Heerenveen

Excelsior Maassluis
20:00Upcoming
Heerenveen

KNVB Beker · WED 28 OCT · Sportpark Dijkpolder

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Excelsior MaassluisDrawHeerenveen
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Heerenveen 73%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Heerenveen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Excelsior Maassluis 10%, draw 18%, Heerenveen 73%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Excelsior Maassluis v HeerenveenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Excelsior Maassluis win10%
Draw18%
Heerenveen win73%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 20:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueSportpark Dijkpolder

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Excelsior Maassluis

Heerenveen

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Derde Divisie

Last match: 24 Oct · Eredivisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heerenveen winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
73% The market–
Us73%

We make Heerenveen a 73% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–2.3, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Excelsior Maassluis v Heerenveen0.73 – 2.30

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Excelsior Maassluis win10%––
Draw18%––
Heerenveen win73%––
Over 2.5 goals58%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Excelsior Maassluis or draw27%––
Excelsior Maassluis clean sheet10%––
Heerenveen clean sheet48%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 12.8%
0123450 5.1 10.9 12.8 9.9 5.7 2.61 3.2 8.3 9.3 7.2 4.1 2 2.9 3.4 2.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Excelsior Maassluis down, Heerenveen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 1 Sept

EXCELSIOR MAASSLUIS

DW1–1 · 2–0

HEERENVEEN

No matches in our record yet.