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Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag

Excelsior '31
17:45Upcoming
ADO Den Haag

KNVB Beker · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Excelsior '31DrawADO Den Haag
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:45
Before kick-off · Match result · ADO Den Haag 83%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ADO Den Haag are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Excelsior '31 6%, draw 11%, ADO Den Haag 83%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Excelsior '31 v ADO Den HaagBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Excelsior '31 win6%
Draw11%
ADO Den Haag win83%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 17:45

RoundRound of 64

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Excelsior '31

ADO Den Haag

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Derde Divisie

Last match: 24 Oct · Eredivisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ado den haag winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
83% The market–
Us83%

We make ADO Den Haag an 83% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–3.2, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag0.81 – 3.17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
80%85% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 02:51
Our probability · ADO Den Haag win

Published at 82%, 83% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Excelsior '31 win6%––
Draw11%––
ADO Den Haag win83%––
Over 2.5 goals76%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals56%––
Excelsior '31 or draw17%––
Excelsior '31 clean sheet4%––
ADO Den Haag clean sheet44%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 9.9%
0123450 2.0 5.7 9.4 9.9 7.9 5.01 4.9 7.6 8.0 6.4 4.12 3.1 3.3 2.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Excelsior '31 down, ADO Den Haag across0–5 goals a side shown (89.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsEXC 2–3 ADO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 1 Sept

EXCELSIOR '31

WW1–0 · 4–3

ADO DEN HAAG

No matches in our record yet.