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Model 1.2

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De Treffers v Heracles

De Treffers
19:00Upcoming
Heracles

KNVB Beker · THU 29 OCT · Sportpark Zuid

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

De TreffersDrawHeracles
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Heracles 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Heracles are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: De Treffers 34%, draw 23%, Heracles 43%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on De Treffers v HeraclesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

De Treffers win34%
Draw23%
Heracles win43%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueSportpark Zuid

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

De Treffers

Heracles

5Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Tweede Divisie

Last match: 23 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heracles winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Heracles a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · De Treffers v Heracles1.65 – 1.85

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 23 OCT 00:0125 OCT 02:51
Our probability · Heracles win

Published at 42%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
De Treffers win34%––
Draw23%––
Heracles win43%––
Over 2.5 goals68%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals46%––
De Treffers or draw57%––
De Treffers clean sheet16%––
Heracles clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%
0123450 3.3 5.3 5.2 3.2 1 4.7 9.5 8.5 5.3 2.4 2 4.1 7.6 7.0 4.3 2.0 3 2.3 4.2 3.9 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+De Treffers down, Heracles across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season

DE TREFFERS

No matches in our record yet.

HERACLES

No matches in our record yet.