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Model 1.2

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Barendrecht v Waalwijk

Barendrecht
19:00Upcoming
Waalwijk

KNVB Beker · TUE 27 OCT · Sports Centre de Bongerd

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BarendrechtDrawWaalwijk
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Waalwijk 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Waalwijk are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Barendrecht 24%, draw 21%, Waalwijk 55%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Barendrecht v WaalwijkBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Barendrecht win24%
Draw21%
Waalwijk win55%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueSports Centre de Bongerd

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Barendrecht

Waalwijk

3Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Tweede Divisie

Last match: 23 Oct · the Dutch Eerste Divisie

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · waalwijk winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
55% The market–
Us55%

We make Waalwijk a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Barendrecht v Waalwijk1.43 – 2.21

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Waalwijk win

Published at 56%, 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Barendrecht win24%––
Draw21%––
Waalwijk win55%––
Over 2.5 goals70%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals49%––
Barendrecht or draw45%––
Barendrecht clean sheet11%––
Waalwijk clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.2%
0123450 2.9 5.5 6.4 4.7 2.6 1 3.5 8.6 9.2 6.8 3.7 2 2.7 5.9 6.5 4.8 2.7 3 2.8 3.1 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Barendrecht down, Waalwijk across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · KNVB Beker this season · since 22 Sept

BARENDRECHT

W1–0

WAALWIJK

No matches in our record yet.