Utrecht v PEC Zwolle

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Utrecht win at 61%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Utrecht 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–21–18
3. 2′KICK-OFF Utrecht v PEC Zwolle
4. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Oualid Agougil · Utrecht
5. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Utrecht win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
6. 43′We said Utrecht at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–32–18
7. 45′HALF-TIME Utrecht 0–0 PEC Zwolle
8. 45′SECOND HALF Utrecht 0–0 PEC Zwolle
9. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' PEC Zwolle · On: Elias Sörensen · Off: Dylan Mbayo
10. 54′We said Utrecht at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–18
11. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 43–39–17
12. 59′10 shots for Utrecht, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 41–42–17
13. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Utrecht win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
14. 61′We said Utrecht at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–44–16
15. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Utrecht win 42%)
16. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Utrecht · On: Adrian Blake · Off: Niklas Vesterlund
17. 68′We said Utrecht at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–52–15
18. 69′14 shots for Utrecht, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 33–53–14
19. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Utrecht win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
20. 72′We said Utrecht at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–24–70
21. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' PEC Zwolle · On: Jan Burger · Off: Damian van der Haar
22. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Utrecht 0–1 PEC Zwolle
23. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Utrecht win: 61% at kick-off, 6% now
24. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' PEC Zwolle win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 56%)
25. 73′Elias Sörensen scores for PEC Zwolle on 72′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 5–23–71
26. 75′We said Utrecht at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
27. 75′Utrecht have had 17 attempts to 7 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 4–22–74
28. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Utrecht · On: S. van Duijn · Off: Yoann Cathline
29. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Utrecht · On: Artem Stepanov · Off: Ángel Alarcón
30. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Gilles Van Der Wal · PEC Zwolle
31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Utrecht win: 61% at kick-off, 1% now
32. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Utrecht · On: Nordin Amrabat · Off: Siebe Horemans
33. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' PEC Zwolle · On: Koen Kostons · Off: Gilles Van Der Wal
34. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Utrecht · On: Davy Van Den Berg · Off: Oualid Agougil
35. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Tobias Sommer · PEC Zwolle
36. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Joris van Overeem · Utrecht
37. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
38. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Utrecht win: 61% at kick-off, 7% now
39. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was PEC Zwolle win 93%)
40. 91′90′: S. van Duijn on the scoresheet for Utrecht, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 6–91–3
41. 94′1–1 at the end. Our 61% on Utrecht misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
42. FTFULL TIME Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
43. FTUtrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle · Utrecht win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.