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Telstar v Feyenoord
Telstar
FeyenoordEredivisie · SAT 17 OCT · Sportpark Schoonenberg
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Feyenoord win at 59%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Feyenoord was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 19–22–58
- 1′Feyenoord find the net on 1′. 0–1. 0–1 · 7–12–81
- 1′KICK-OFF Telstar v Feyenoord
- 1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Telstar 0–1 Feyenoord
- 1′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 1' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 81% now
- 2′We published Feyenoord at 59%. Our model now makes it 81%. 0–1 · 7–12–81
- 21′We published Feyenoord at 59%. Our model now makes it 94%. 0–2 · 2–5–94
- 21′Nacho Ferri scores for Feyenoord on 21′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–94
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Telstar 0–2 Feyenoord
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 94% now
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Telstar 1–2 Feyenoord
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Gerald Alders · Telstar
- 31′30′: Tyrone Owusu on the scoresheet for Telstar, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 6–14–80
- 32′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 1–5–94
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Telstar 1–3 Feyenoord
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 94% now
- 33′Feyenoord ahead on 32′ through Sem Steijn. 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–94
- 36′We published Feyenoord at 59%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–3 · 1–4–95
- 37′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 5–14–80
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Telstar 2–3 Feyenoord
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
- 39′Patrick Brouwer scores for Telstar on 37′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 5–14–80
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Charles Vanhoutte · Feyenoord
- 45′SECOND HALF Telstar 2–3 Feyenoord
- 46′HALF-TIME Telstar 2–3 Feyenoord
- 57′6 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–3–97
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Telstar 2–4 Feyenoord
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 97% now
- 63′57′: Sem Steijn on the scoresheet for Feyenoord, making it 2–4. 2–4 · 0–2–97
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Telstar · On: Jelani Seedorf · Off: Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Feyenoord · On: Oussama Targhalline · Off: Charles Vanhoutte
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Feyenoord · On: Javi López · Off: Thijs Kraaijeveld
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Gjivai Zechiel · Feyenoord
- 69′We published Feyenoord at 59%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–4 · 2–13–85
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 85% now
- 71′Telstar pull one back on 69′ through Noach Shenkman. 3–4. 3–4 · 2–12–86
- 72′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 1–12–86
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Nacho Ferri · Feyenoord
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Feyenoord · On: Tobias van den Elshout · Off: Sem Steijn
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Feyenoord · On: Luciano Valente · Off: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Telstar · On: Emirhan Demircan · Off: Ar'jany Martha
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Telstar · On: Jeff Hardeveld · Off: Noach Shenkman
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Telstar · On: Harrie Kuster · Off: Gerald Alders
- 90′Full time, 3–4. We called Feyenoord at 59% — that one lands. 3–4 · 0–0–100
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Feyenoord win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- 98′🟨 YELLOW · 90+7' Javi López · Feyenoord
- FTFULL TIME Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord
- FTTelstar 3–4 Feyenoord · Feyenoord win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassFeyenoord are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Telstar 19%, draw 22%, Feyenoord 59%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Telstar win19%
Feyenoord win59%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueSportpark Schoonenberg
RefereeJeroen Manschot
Match timeline
All events
TelstarMIN
FeyenoordEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Telstar
4-3-3
Feyenoord
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Telstar
Feyenoord
Last match: 11 Oct · Eredivisie
Last match: 14 Oct · UEFA Champions League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Telstar
4-3-3
1 R. Koeman
3 Gerald Alders
16 S. Valk
4 A. Soualhia
43 M. Peersman
23 N. Shenkman
10 T. Owusu
17 N. Rossen
42 A. Martha
11 N. Þórisson
27 P. Brouwer
Coach · H. Brugge
Substitutes
19 · F. Rust
20 · D. Reiziger
21 · F. Turay
6 · Isaiah Ahmed
5 · P. Aning
18 · G. Caschili
8 · E. Demircan
2 · J. Hardeveld
14 · H. Kuster
13 · Finn Mulder
28 · R. Oudsten
9 · Jelani Seedorf
Feyenoord
4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst
26 G. Read
4 T. Watanabe
24 T. Kraaijeveld
35 Mika Màrmol
8 G. Zechiël
34 C. Vanhoutte
23 A. Hadj-Moussa
14 S. Steijn
27 G. Diarra
19 Nacho Ferri
Coach · G. van Bronckhorst
Substitutes
6 · J. St. Juste
32 · T. Wessels
22 · T. van den Elshout
10 · L. Valente
28 · O. Targhalline
57 · J. Schaken
16 · Javi López
33 · F. Kastenmeier
50 · Theodoros Delianidis
20 · M. Deijl
39 · L. Bossin
11 · Gonçalo Borges
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Telstar
4-3-3
1 R. Koeman
3 Gerald Alders
16 S. Valk
4 A. Soualhia
43 M. Peersman
23 N. Shenkman
10 T. Owusu
17 N. Rossen
42 A. Martha
11 N. Þórisson
27 P. Brouwer
Coach · H. Brugge
Substitutes
19 · F. Rust
20 · D. Reiziger
21 · F. Turay
6 · Isaiah Ahmed
5 · P. Aning
18 · G. Caschili
8 · E. Demircan
2 · J. Hardeveld
14 · H. Kuster
13 · Finn Mulder
28 · R. Oudsten
9 · Jelani Seedorf
Feyenoord
4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst
26 G. Read
4 T. Watanabe
24 T. Kraaijeveld
35 Mika Màrmol
8 G. Zechiël
34 C. Vanhoutte
23 A. Hadj-Moussa
14 S. Steijn
27 G. Diarra
19 Nacho Ferri
Coach · G. van Bronckhorst
Substitutes
6 · J. St. Juste
32 · T. Wessels
22 · T. van den Elshout
10 · L. Valente
28 · O. Targhalline
57 · J. Schaken
16 · Javi López
33 · F. Kastenmeier
50 · Theodoros Delianidis
20 · M. Deijl
39 · L. Bossin
11 · Gonçalo Borges
We make Feyenoord a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 58%, 59% now. The market has not moved either.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar win | 19% | 11% | +8 |
| Draw | 22% | 17% | +5 |
| Feyenoord win | 59% | 71% | −12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 67% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 57% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 85% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 47% | −8 |
| Telstar or draw | 41% | 29% | +12 |
| Telstar clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Eredivisie this season · since 23 Aug
TELSTAR
FEYENOORD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | −1 | 14 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | −2 | 11 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | −1 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | −8 | 8 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | −11 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | −7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | −7 | 6 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | −15 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 8 | −10 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | −16 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Ajax
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Cambuur
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
ADO Den Haag
Willem II