ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said PSV Eindhoven win at 79%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: PSV Eindhoven was 79% before kick-off and our model makes it 79% now. 0–0 · 9–12–79
3. 1′KICK-OFF ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven
4. 22′Sven Mijnans scores for PSV Eindhoven on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–7–90
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' ADO Den Haag 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' PSV Eindhoven win: 79% at kick-off, 90% now
7. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Sven Mijnans · PSV Eindhoven
8. 41′SUBSTITUTION · 40' PSV Eindhoven · On: Mikkel Bro Hansen · Off: Guus Til
9. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Sekou Sylla · ADO Den Haag
10. 44′A red card for PSV Eindhoven on 43′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 3–9–88
11. 44′🟥 RED CARD · 43' Sven Mijnans · PSV Eindhoven
12. 45′HALF-TIME ADO Den Haag 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' ADO Den Haag · On: Matěj Šín · Off: Jan Zamburek
14. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' ADO Den Haag · On: Othniël Raterink · Off: Sekou Sylla
15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' PSV Eindhoven · On: Ryan Flamingo · Off: Dennis Man
16. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' ADO Den Haag · On: Jalen Hawkins · Off: Lasse Wilhelm
17. 47′SECOND HALF ADO Den Haag 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
18. 56′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 12–29–59
19. 56′55′: Juho Kilo on the scoresheet for ADO Den Haag, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 12–29–59
20. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' ADO Den Haag 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
21. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' PSV Eindhoven win: 79% at kick-off, 59% now
22. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' PSV Eindhoven · On: Amir Bouhamdi · Off: Ayoni Santos
23. 62′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 12–34–54
24. 67′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 12–40–49
25. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' ADO Den Haag · On: Daryl van Mieghem · Off: Jesse Bal
26. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' PSV Eindhoven win: 79% at kick-off, 49% now
27. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Othniël Raterink · ADO Den Haag
28. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' PSV Eindhoven · On: Shuryjano Cornecion · Off: Mauro Júnior
29. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' ADO Den Haag · On: Alejandro Pozo · Off: Jonas Jensen-Abbew
30. 71′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 11–45–44
31. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was PSV Eindhoven win 41%)
32. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Pascal Mulder · ADO Den Haag
33. 75′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 10–52–38
34. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' PSV Eindhoven win: 79% at kick-off, 38% now
35. 78′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 9–58–33
36. 80′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 8–63–29
37. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' PSV Eindhoven win: 79% at kick-off, 29% now
38. 83′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 6–72–22
39. 84′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 6–75–19
40. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' PSV Eindhoven win: 79% at kick-off, 19% now
41. 88′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 4–82–14
42. 91′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 3–88–9
43. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' PSV Eindhoven win: 79% at kick-off, 9% now
44. 93′We said PSV Eindhoven at 79%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 2–1 · 94–5–0
45. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
46. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' ADO Den Haag win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 5%)
47. 94′ADO Den Haag ahead on 90′ through Matěj Šín. 2–1. 2–1 · 96–4–0
48. FTFULL TIME ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven
49. FTADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven · PSV Eindhoven win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.