ADO Den Haag v Heerenveen

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Heerenveen win at 45%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Heerenveen 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 30–25–45
3. 1′KICK-OFF ADO Den Haag v Heerenveen
4. 23′We said Heerenveen at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 12–18–71
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' ADO Den Haag 0–1 Heerenveen
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Heerenveen win: 45% at kick-off, 71% now
7. 25′Heerenveen ahead on 24′ through Jacob Trenskow. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–18–71
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 11–18–71
9. 45′HALF-TIME ADO Den Haag 0–1 Heerenveen
10. 45′SECOND HALF ADO Den Haag 0–1 Heerenveen
11. 51′We said Heerenveen at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 1–6–93
12. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' ADO Den Haag 0–2 Heerenveen
13. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Heerenveen win: 45% at kick-off, 93% now
14. 52′Ringo Meerveld scores for Heerenveen on 51′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–93
15. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 45' ADO Den Haag · On: Daryl van Mieghem · Off: Jesse Bal
16. 57′We said Heerenveen at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–2 · 6–19–76
17. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' ADO Den Haag 1–2 Heerenveen
18. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Heerenveen win: 45% at kick-off, 76% now
19. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' ADO Den Haag · On: Milan Hokke · Off: Sekou Sylla
20. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' ADO Den Haag · On: Nigel Thomas · Off: Matěj Šín
21. 59′57′: Nigel Thomas on the scoresheet for ADO Den Haag, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
22. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Yannick Fereira Eduardo · ADO Den Haag
23. 65′We said Heerenveen at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 1–3 · 1–3–96
24. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' ADO Den Haag 1–3 Heerenveen
25. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Heerenveen win: 45% at kick-off, 96% now
26. 66′16 shots for ADO Den Haag, 10 the other way, and they still trail 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–96
27. 66′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–3–96
28. 67′Heerenveen ahead on 66′ through Jacob Trenskow. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–97
29. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' ADO Den Haag · On: Cameron Peupion · Off: Jalen Hawkins
30. 72′We said Heerenveen at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–3 · 2–16–82
31. 72′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 2–16–82
32. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
33. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Heerenveen win: 45% at kick-off, 82% now
34. 73′Nigel Thomas scores for ADO Den Haag on 72′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 2–15–83
35. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Heerenveen · On: Roberts Uldriķis · Off: Dylan Vente
36. 77′We said Heerenveen at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–3 · 1–13–85
37. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' ADO Den Haag · On: Alejandro Pozo · Off: Jonas Jensen-Abbew
38. 86′22 shots for ADO Den Haag, 13 the other way, and they still trail 2–3. 2–3 · 0–7–93
39. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Heerenveen · On: Marko Farji · Off: Maxence Rivera
40. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Heerenveen win: 45% at kick-off, 96% now
41. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Heerenveen · On: Hristiyan Petrov · Off: Jacob Trenskow
42. 94′2–3 at the end. Our 45% on Heerenveen comes in. 2–3 · 0–0–100
43. FTFULL TIME ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen
44. FTADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen · Heerenveen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.